Free NFL Picks Today: Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans 10/30/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans 10/30/22
Sun 30th October 2022

The Houston Texans (1-4-1, 0-1-1 Home) welcome the Tennessee Titans (4-2, 2-1 Away), who will be looking to add to their winning run, at NRG Stadium on Sunday. The Titans are 2.5-point favorites, and the total is 40.5. Tennessee is coming off a 19-10 win over the Indianapolis Colts at Nissan Stadium last Sunday, their fourth consecutive victory. Ryan Tannehill was 13 of 20 for 132 yards. Derrick Henry ran 30 times for 128 yards.

Austin Hooper caught three passes for 56 yards. Houston lost 38-20 to the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium last Sunday. Davis Mills threw for 302 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception. Dameon Pierce carried 20 times for 92 yards. Jordan Akins caught three receptions for 68 yards.


The teams split their two meetings last season, the last of which was a 28-25 win for the Titans in January. Ryan Tannehill threw four touchdowns for Tennessee. Davis Mills tossed three touchdowns for Houston, as Danny Amendola found the end zone twice.


The Titans are averaging 19.2 points per game for the season, 21st in the NFL, and they are facing a Texans defense that has surrendered 22.8 PPG (20th). Meanwhile, Houston has scored 17.7 points a game this season, 28th in the league, and Tennessee is allowing 21.3 PPG (18th).

The Titans rank as one of the league’s worst teams in passing yards per game (183.8, 29th), while they are 20th in rushing yards (108.7). The Texans are 21st in passing yards allowed per game (257.3) and 32nd against the run (164.7).Houston is 24th in the league in passing yards per game (225.0) and 24th in rushing (100.7).

Tennessee’s defense has been strong on the ground, as the Titans are 4th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (96.8). Against the pass, the Titans are 30th (295.0).Tennessee has found the end zone on an NFL-best 80% of trips to the red zone this season, making the most of the relatively few 2.5 trips a game (32nd).

Houston ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the league, advancing inside the 20-yard-line just 2.2 times per game (33rd) and scoring a touchdown on 54% of those possessions (19th).


Through six games, Ryan Tannehill has thrown for six touchdowns (3 INT) and 182.8 yards per game to lead Tennessee in passing. In three away games this season, he has three TDs (2 INT) and an average of 145.0 yards passing. Derrick Henry leads the team in rushing with an average of 89.3 yards a game over six games. He has five touchdowns on the ground.

Robert Woods is the Titans’ leading receiver with 38.3 yards a game and one TD. Davis Mills has seven passing touchdowns (5 INT) with 225.0 yards per game through six games to lead Houston. In two home games this season, he has thrown for four TDs (2 INT) and an average of 243.0 yards.

Dameon Pierce has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 84.0 yards a game through six games. He has three touchdowns. Nico Collins has been a key target in the Texans’ aerial attack, averaging 50.8 yards per game through six appearances.


Houston is looking for a first home victory this season in two games.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Tennessee Titans (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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