Free NFL Picks Today: Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans 11/17/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans 11/17/22
Thu 17th November 2022

The Green Bay Packers (4-6, 3-2 Home) host the Tennessee Titans (6-3, 3-2 Away) at Lambeau Field on Thursday. The Packers are three-point favorites, and the total is 41. Tennessee is coming off a 17-10 win over the Denver Broncos at Nissan Stadium on Sunday. Ryan Tannehill was 19 of 36 for 255 yards and two touchdowns.

Derrick Henry ran 19 times for 53 yards. Nick Westbrook-Ikhine was targeted eight times, catching five passes for 119 yards and two touchdowns. Green Bay beat the Dallas Cowboys 31-28 at Lambeau Field on Sunday.

Aaron Rodgers threw for 224 yards and three touchdowns. Aaron Jones carried 24 times for 138 yards and a touchdown. Christian Watson added three touchdowns of his own. He was targeted eight times, hauling in four receptions for 107 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since December 2020, a 40-14 win for the Packers. Aaron Rodgers threw four touchdowns for Green Bay, as Davante Adams scored three times.


The Titans are averaging 18.4 points per game for the season, 26th in the NFL, and they are facing a Packers defense that has surrendered 21.6 PPG (16th). Meanwhile, Green Bay has scored 18.5 points a game this season, 25th in the league, and Tennessee is allowing 18.7 PPG (8th).

The Titans rank as one of the league’s worst teams in passing yards per game (165.9, 31st), while they are ninth in rushing yards (133.4). They will be facing a particularly tough test through the air, as the Packers are No. 1 in the league in passing yards allowed per game (190.2). Against the run, Green Bay is 26th (140.6).

Green Bay is 17th in the league in passing yards per game (238.8) and 12th in rushing (129.3). Tennessee’s defense will prove challenging on the ground, as the Titans are 2nd in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (85.1). Against the pass, the Titans are 32nd (294.9).

Tennessee has found the end zone on an NFL-best 76% of red zone trips this season, making the most of the relatively few 2.3 trips a game (33rd). Green Bay ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the league, moving inside the 20-yard-line just 2.9 times per game (29th) and scoring a touchdown on 52% of those possessions (23rd).


Through seven games, Ryan Tannehill has thrown for eight touchdowns (3 INT) and 193.1 yards per game to lead Tennessee in passing. In three away games this season, he has three TDs (2 INT) and an average of 145.0 yards passing.

Derrick Henry leads the team in rushing with an average of 102.6 yards a game over nine games. He has nine touchdowns on the ground. Robert Woods is the Titans’ leading receiver with 29.6 yards a game and one TD.

Aaron Rodgers has 17 passing touchdowns (7 INT) with 231.5 yards per game through 10 games to lead Green Bay. In five home games this season, he has thrown for 10 TDs (1 INT) and an average of 235.4 yards.

Aaron Jones has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 73.8 yards a game through 10 games. He has five total touchdowns, two rushing and three receiving.

Allen Lazard has been the primary target in the Packers’ passing game. He has five touchdowns and a 59.0 yard per game average through eight appearances.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Tennessee Titans (+145)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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