Free NFL Picks Today: Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings 1/1/23

Free NFL Picks Today: Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings 1/1/23
Sun 1st January 2023

The Minnesota Vikings (12-3, 4-2 Away) and their explosive passing offense head to take on the Green Bay Packers (7-8, 4-3 Home) and their stifling aerial defense at Lambeau Field on Sunday. The Packers are 3.5-point favorites, and the total is 48.

Minnesota is coming off a close 27-24 win over the New York Giants at U.S. Bank Stadium last Saturday. Kirk Cousins was 34 of 48 for 299 yards and three touchdowns. Dalvin Cook ran 14 times for 64 yards. Justin Jefferson was targeted 16 times, catching 12 passes for 133 yards and a touchdown.

Green Bay won for the third straight game last Sunday, beating the Miami Dolphins 26-20 at Hard Rock Stadium. Aaron Rodgers threw for 238 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. AJ Dillon carried 11 times for 36 yards and a touchdown. Allen Lazard was targeted 11 times, hauling in five receptions for 61 yards.


The Vikings won the first meeting between the teams this season, a 23-7 victory in September. Kirk Cousins threw two touchdowns for Minnesota, as Justin Jefferson scored twice.


The Vikings are averaging 25.2 points per game for the season, seventh in the NFL, and they are facing a Packers defense that has surrendered 22.3 PPG (17th). Meanwhile, Green Bay has scored 20.9 points a game this season, 18th in the league, and Minnesota is allowing 24.9 PPG (28th).

The Vikings rank as one of the league’s top teams in passing yards per game (281.0, 5th), while they are 28th in rushing yards (94.5). They will be matching strength against strength through the air, as the Packers are No. 1 in the league in passing yards allowed per game (204.5). Against the run, Green Bay is 27th (144.4).

Green Bay is 17th in the league in passing yards per game (234.5) and 14th in rushing (123.1). Minnesota’s defense has been most susceptible through the air, as the Vikings are 31st in the league in passing yards allowed per game (296.1). Against the run, the Vikings are 19th (120.8).


Through 15 games, Kirk Cousins has thrown for 27 touchdowns (11 INT) and 274.5 yards per game to lead Minnesota in passing. In six away games this season, he has nine TDs (7 INT) and an average of 286.0 yards passing. Dalvin Cook leads the team in rushing with an average of 73.9 yards a game over 15 games.

He has eight touchdowns on the ground. Justin Jefferson is the Vikings’ leading receiver with 117.1 yards a game and eight TDs. He is averaging 8.2 receptions on 11.6 targets per game.

Aaron Rodgers has 24 passing touchdowns (11 INT) with 222.1 yards per game through 15 games to lead Green Bay. In seven home games this season, he has thrown for 13 TDs (2 INT) and an average of 233.3 yards.

Aaron Jones has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 64.1 yards a game through 15 games. He has seven total touchdowns, two rushing and five receiving.

Allen Lazard has been a key target in the Packers’ passing game. He has five touchdowns and a 52.9 yard per game average through 13 appearances.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

GB Packers (-175)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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