Free NFL Picks Today: Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams 12/19/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams 12/19/22
Mon 19th December 2022

The Los Angeles Rams (4-9, 1-4 Away) travel to face the Green Bay Packers (5-8, 3-3 Home) at Lambeau Field on Monday. The Packers are seven-point favorites, and the total is 39.5. Los Angeles is coming off a tight 17-16 win over the Las Vegas Raiders at SoFi Stadium last Thursday. Baker Mayfield was 22 of 35 for 230 yards and a touchdown.

Cam Akers ran 12 times for 42 yards and a touchdown. Ben Skowronek was targeted eight times, catching seven passes for 89 yards.

Green Bay beat the Chicago Bears 28-19 at Soldier Field on December 4. Aaron Rodgers threw for 182 yards and a touchdown. AJ Dillon carried 18 times for 93 yards and a touchdown. Allen Lazard had five receptions for 67 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Packers won the only meeting between the teams last season, a 36-28 victory in November. Aaron Rodgers threw two touchdowns for Green Bay. Matthew Stafford tossed three touchdowns for Los Angeles.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Rams are averaging 16.8 points per game for the season, 30th in the NFL, and they are facing a Packers defense that has surrendered 23.2 PPG (20th). Meanwhile, Green Bay has scored 20.2 points a game this season, 23rd in the league, and Los Angeles is allowing 22.8 PPG (16th).

The Rams rank as one of the league’s worst teams in rushing yards per game (86.1, 30th), while they are 24th in passing yards (222.0). They may find their best opportunities on the ground, as the Packers are 30th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (154.8). Against the pass, Green Bay is first (203.5).

Green Bay is 18th in the league in passing yards per game (234.6) and 12th in rushing (125.4). Los Angeles’ defense has proven stout on the ground, as the Rams are 5th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (101.9).

Against the pass, the Rams are 21st (242.5). Los Angeles is averaging an NFL-worst 2.5 red zone trips a game this season, finding the end zone 55% of the time (15th).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through nine games, Matthew Stafford has thrown for 10 touchdowns (8 INT) and 231.9 yards per game to lead Los Angeles in passing. In four away games this season, he has three TDs (1 INT) and an average of 206.8 yards passing.

Cam Akers leads the team in rushing with an average of 34.2 yards a game over 11 games. He has four touchdowns on the ground. Cooper Kupp is the Rams’ leading receiver with 90.2 yards a game and six TDs. He is averaging 8.3 receptions on 10.9 targets per game.

Aaron Rodgers has 22 passing touchdowns (9 INT) with 220.3 yards per game through 13 games to lead Green Bay. In six home games this season, he has thrown for 12 TDs (1 INT) and an average of 234.0 yards.

Aaron Jones has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 65.2 yards a game through 13 games. He has six total touchdowns, two rushing and four receiving.

Allen Lazard has been the primary target in the Packers’ passing game. He has five touchdowns and a 56.4 yard per game average through 11 appearances.

HOME AND AWAY

Los Angeles is looking to end a four-game losing skid on the road this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Over 39.5 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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