Free NFL Picks Today: Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings 12/11/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings 12/11/22
Sun 11th December 2022

The Detroit Lions (5-7, 3-4 Home) host the Minnesota Vikings (10-2, 4-1 Away) at Ford Field on Sunday. The Lions are two-point favorites, and the total is 51.5. Minnesota is coming off a 27-22 win over the New York Jets at U.S. Bank Stadium last Sunday. Kirk Cousins was 21 of 35 for 173 yards and a touchdown.

Dalvin Cook ran 20 times for 86 yards and a touchdown. Justin Jefferson was targeted 11 times, catching seven passes for 45 yards and a touchdown. Detroit beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 40-14 at Ford Field last Sunday. Jared Goff threw for 340 yards and two touchdowns.

D’Andre Swift carried 14 times for 62 yards and a touchdown and added four catches for 49 yards. Amon-Ra St. Brown added two touchdowns of his own. He was targeted 12 times, hauling in 11 receptions for 114 yards.


The Vikings won the first meeting between the teams this season, a 28-24 victory in September. Kirk Cousins threw two touchdowns for Minnesota.


The Vikings are averaging 24.1 points per game for the season, 11th in the NFL, and they are facing a Lions defense that has surrendered 27.0 PPG (32nd). Meanwhile, Detroit has scored 26.3 points a game this season, sixth in the league, and Minnesota is allowing 23.3 PPG (21st).

The Vikings rank ninth in the league in passing yards per game (252.6) and 25th in rushing (101.8). Look for them to take advantage on the ground, as the Lions are 28th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (149.7). Against the pass, Detroit is 26th (264.5).

Detroit is 10th in the league in passing yards per game (252.3) and 10th in rushing (127.0). Minnesota’s defense has been most vulnerable through the air, as the Vikings are worst in the league in passing yards allowed per game (299.6).

Against the run, the Vikings are 16th (115.1).Detroit ranks as the most productive red zone offense in the NFL, scoring a touchdown 74% of the time when the team moves inside the 20.


Through 12 games, Kirk Cousins has thrown for 18 touchdowns (9 INT) and 244.4 yards per game to lead Minnesota in passing. In five away games this season, he has seven TDs (7 INT) and an average of 258.2 yards passing. Dalvin Cook leads the team in rushing with an average of 77.3 yards a game over 12 games. He has seven touchdowns on the ground.

Justin Jefferson is the Vikings’ leading receiver with 106.4 yards a game and six TDs. He is averaging 7.3 receptions on 10.6 targets per game.

Jared Goff has 19 passing touchdowns (7 INT) with 251.8 yards per game through 12 games to lead Detroit. In seven home games this season, he has thrown for 17 TDs (3 INT) and an average of 269.6 yards.

Jamaal Williams has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 64.1 yards a game through 12 games. He has 14 touchdowns.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has been the primary target in the Lions’ aerial attack. He has six touchdowns and a 75.5 yard per game average through 11 appearances. Amon-Ra St. Brown is averaging 9.1 targets per game (6.9 receptions).


Minnesota is pursuing a fifth straight win on the road this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Over 51.5 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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