Free NFL Picks Today: Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins 10/30/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins 10/30/22
Sun 30th October 2022

The Miami Dolphins (4-3, 1-2 Away) travel to face the Detroit Lions (1-5, 1-2 Home), who will be looking to end their losing streak, at Ford Field on Sunday. The Dolphins are 3.5-point favorites, and the total is 51.5. Miami is coming off a 16-10 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers at Hard Rock Stadium last Sunday.

Tua Tagovailoa was 21 of 35 for 261 yards and a touchdown. Raheem Mostert ran 16 times for 79 yards. He added four receptions for 30 yards and a touchdown. Jaylen Waddle caught four passes for 88 yards. Detroit dropped a fourth straight game last Sunday, falling 24-6 to the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium.

Jared Goff threw for 228 yards and two interceptions. Jamaal Williams carried 15 times for 79 yards. Kalif Raymond caught five receptions for 75 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since October 2018, a 32-21 win for the Lions.


The Dolphins are averaging 21.0 points per game for the season, 19th in the NFL, and they are facing a Lions defense that has surrendered 32.3 PPG (32nd). Meanwhile, Detroit has scored 24.3 points a game this season, ninth in the league, and Miami is allowing 23.6 PPG (23rd).

The Dolphins rank as one of the league’s top teams in passing yards per game (296.1, 4th), while they are 29th in rushing yards (85.4). The Lions are 22nd in passing yards allowed per game (259.2) and 31st against the run (162.8).

Detroit is ninth in the league in passing yards per game (264.8) and seventh in rushing (145.7), while the Dolphins are allowing 269.0 passing yards (24th) and 103.3 rushing yards per game (7th).

Miami has found the end zone on 65% of red zone trips this season, fifth most in the NFL, making the most of the relatively few 2.9 trips a game (30th). The Dolphins should match up well against one of the league’s weakest red zone defenses, as the Lions have allowed opponents to score on 70% of red zone trips (29th).

Detroit ranks as one of the biggest red zone threats in the league, scoring a touchdown 71% of the time (3rd) when the team moves inside the 20. Miami has had difficulty defending their own red zone, allowing opponents to find the end zone 68% of the time (28th).


Through five games, Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for nine touchdowns (3 INT) and 259.2 yards per game to lead Miami in passing. In two away games this season, he has six TDs (3 INT) and an average of 289.5 yards passing.

Raheem Mostert leads the team in rushing with an average of 55.4 yards a game over seven games. He has one touchdown on the ground. Tyreek Hill is the Dolphins’ leading receiver with 110.4 yards a game and two TDs.

He is averaging 8.1 receptions on 11.1 targets per game. Jared Goff has 11 passing touchdowns (6 INT) with 263.8 yards per game through six games to lead Detroit. In three home games this season, he has thrown for 10 TDs (2 INT) and an average of 283.0 yards.

Jamaal Williams has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 68.5 yards a game through six games. He has six touchdowns. Josh Reynolds has been the primary target in the Lions’ passing game. He has two touchdowns and a 57.2 yard per game average through six appearances.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Detroit Lions (+155)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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