Free NFL Picks Today: Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears 1/1/23

Free NFL Picks Today: Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears 1/1/23
Sun 1st January 2023

The Chicago Bears (3-12, 1-6 Away) and their explosive rushing offense are on the road to face the Detroit Lions (7-8, 4-4 Home), one of the league’s softest ground defenses, at Ford Field on Sunday. The Lions are six-point favorites, and the total is 52.

Chicago is coming off a deflating 35-13 loss to the Buffalo Bills at Soldier Field last Saturday, their eighth straight defeat. Justin Fields was 15 of 23 for 119 yards and a touchdown. David Montgomery ran 16 times for 62 yards.

Velus Jones Jr. caught two passes for 52 yards.Detroit lost 37-23 to the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium last Saturday. Jared Goff threw for 355 yards and three touchdowns. He added 15 yards on the ground. DJ Chark Jr. caught four receptions for 108 yards.


The Lions won the first meeting between the teams this season, a 31-30 victory in November. Jared Goff tossed one touchdown for Detroit, as Jamaal Williams added a rushing TD. Justin Fields tossed two touchdowns for Chicago, as Cole Kmet found the end zone twice.


The Bears are averaging 20.2 points per game for the season, 22nd in the NFL, and they are facing a Lions defense that has surrendered 26.7 PPG (32nd). Meanwhile, Detroit has scored 26.1 points a game this season, fifth in the league, and Chicago is allowing 26.2 PPG (31st).

The Bears rank as the league’s top team in rushing yards per game (179.7, 1st), while they are 32nd in passing yards (158.4). Look for them to take advantage on the ground, as the Lions are 28th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (145.9). Against the pass, Detroit is 30th (277.7).

Detroit is eighth in the league in passing yards per game (264.3) and 16th in rushing (120.7). Chicago’s defense has been most susceptible on the ground, as the Bears are 30th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (151.2). Against the pass, the Bears are 9th (216.3).

Detroit ranks as one of the most productive red zone offenses in the NFL, scoring a touchdown 68% of the time (3rd) when the team moves inside the 20. Chicago has had difficulty defending their own red zone, allowing opponents to find the end zone 65% of the time (28th).


Through 14 games, Justin Fields has thrown for 16 touchdowns (10 INT) and 154.8 yards per game to lead Chicago in passing. In six away games this season, he has five TDs (3 INT) and an average of 155.8 yards passing.

Justin Fields also leads the team in rushing with an average of 72.2 yards per game. He has eight touchdowns on the ground. Darnell Mooney is the Bears’ leading receiver with 44.8 yards a game and two TDs. Jared Goff has 26 passing touchdowns (7 INT) with 263.9 yards per game through 15 games to lead Detroit.

In eight home games this season, he has thrown for 20 TDs (3 INT) and an average of 277.1 yards. Jamaal Williams has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 56.7 yards a game through 15 games.

He has 14 touchdowns. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been the primary target in the Lions’ aerial attack. He has six touchdowns and a 75.0 yard per game average through 14 appearances. Amon-Ra St. Brown is averaging 9.4 targets per game (6.9 receptions).


Chicago is looking to avoid a fourth consecutive road loss this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Detroit Lions (-225)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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