The Denver Broncos (2-2, 2-0 Home) play host to the Indianapolis Colts (1-2-1, 0-1-1 Away) at Empower Field at Mile High on Thursday. The Broncos are three-point favorites, and the total is 43. Indianapolis is coming off a 24-17 loss against the Tennessee Titans at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday. Matt Ryan was 27 of 37 for 356 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Jonathan Taylor ran 20 times for 42 yards. Mo Alie-Cox caught six passes for 85 yards and two touchdowns. Denver lost 32-23 to the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday. Russell Wilson threw for 237 yards and two touchdowns. He added 29 yards and a touchdown on the ground. KJ Hamler caught one reception for 55 yards.
HEAD-TO-HEAD
The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since October 2019, a 15-13 win for the Colts.
TALE OF THE TAPE
The Colts are averaging 14.3 points per game so far this season, worst in the NFL, and they are facing a Broncos defense that has surrendered 17.0 PPG (5th). Meanwhile, Denver has scored 16.5 points a game this season, 30th in the league, and Indianapolis is allowing 21.3 PPG (13th). The Colts rank sixth in the league in passing yards per game (281.3) and 27th in rushing (87.8). They will be facing a tough test through the air, as the Broncos are fifth in the league in passing yards allowed per game (192.8). Against the run, Denver is 18th (114.0). Denver is 19th in the league in passing yards per game (245.0) and 18th in rushing (109.5), while the Colts are allowing 218.5 passing yards (10th) and 89.5 rushing yards per game (6th). Denver ranks as the weakest red zone threat in the NFL, advancing inside the 20-yard-line 2.5 times per game (33rd) and scoring a touchdown on only 30% of those possessions (32nd). Indianapolis has had difficulty defending their own red zone, allowing opponents to find the end zone 80% of the time (30th).
TOP PERFORMERS
Through four games, Matt Ryan has thrown for five touchdowns (5 INT) and 281.2 yards per game to lead Indianapolis in passing. In two away games this season, he has one TD (4 INT) and an average of 273.5 yards passing. Jonathan Taylor leads the team in rushing with an average of 82.0 yards a game over four games. He has one touchdown on the ground. Michael Pittman Jr. is the Colts’ leading receiver with 74.7 yards a game and one TD. He is averaging 6.7 receptions on 9.3 targets per game. Russell Wilson has four passing touchdowns (1 INT) with 245.0 yards per game through four games to lead Denver. In two home games this season, he has thrown for one TD (1 INT) and an average of 201.5 yards. Javonte Williams has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 51.0 yards a game through four games. Courtland Sutton has been a key target in the Broncos’ passing game. He has one touchdown and an 85.8 yard per game average through four appearances. Courtland Sutton is averaging 8.8 targets per game (6.0 receptions).
SportsTips’ NFL Pick:
Denver Broncos (-185)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.
