Free NFL Picks Today: Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans 12/11/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans 12/11/22
Sun 11th December 2022

The Houston Texans (1-10-1, 1-5-0 Away) will be out to snap their losing streak when they head to take on the flourishing Dallas Cowboys (9-3, 6-1 Home) at AT&T Stadium on Sunday. The Cowboys are 17.5-point favorites, and the total is 44. Houston is coming off a 27-14 loss at the hands of the Cleveland Browns at NRG Stadium last Sunday, their seventh straight defeat. Kyle Allen threw for 201 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.

Dameon Pierce ran 18 times for 73 yards. Chris Moore caught three passes for 46 yards. Dallas won for the third straight game last Sunday, beating the Indianapolis Colts 54-19 at AT&T Stadium.

Dak Prescott was 20 of 30 for 170 yards, three touchdowns, and an interception. Tony Pollard carried 12 times for 91 yards and two touchdowns. CeeDee Lamb added a touchdown of his own. He caught five receptions for 71 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since October 2018, a 19-16 win for the Texans.


The Texans are averaging 15.7 points per game for the season, 31st in the NFL, and they are facing a Cowboys defense that has surrendered 17.2 PPG (3rd). Meanwhile, Dallas has scored 27.8 points a game this season, third in the league, and Houston is allowing 23.9 PPG (23rd).

The Texans rank as one of the league’s worst teams in rushing yards per game (87.9, 29th), while they are 26th in passing yards (213.3). The Cowboys are fifth in passing yards allowed per game (206.7) and 24th against the run (129.8).

Dallas is 24th in the league in passing yards per game (217.8) and seventh in rushing (145.9). Houston’s defense has been most susceptible on the ground, as the Texans are worst in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (169.1).

Against the pass, the Texans are 12th (222.2). Houston is averaging 2.8 trips to the red zone a game this season, third lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 42% of the time (30th). Dallas ranks as one of the biggest red zone threats in the league, scoring a touchdown 73% of the time (3rd) when the team moves inside the 20.


Through 10 games, Davis Mills has thrown for 11 touchdowns (11 INT) and 214.4 yards per game to lead Houston in passing. In five away games this season, he has four TDs (4 INT) and an average of 236.6 yards passing. Dameon Pierce leads the team in rushing with an average of 71.8 yards a game over 12 games.

He has three touchdowns on the ground. Brandin Cooks is the Texans’ leading receiver with 52.0 yards a game and one TD. He is averaging 4.4 receptions on 7.1 targets per game.

Dak Prescott has 13 passing touchdowns (7 INT) with 223.3 yards per game through seven games to lead Dallas. In five home games this season, he has thrown for eight TDs (5 INT) and an average of 204.4 yards.

Tony Pollard has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 71.0 yards a game through 12 games. He has 10 total touchdowns, eight rushing and two receiving.

CeeDee Lamb has been a key target in the Cowboys’ passing game. He has six touchdowns and a 77.3 yard per game average through 12 appearances. CeeDee Lamb is averaging 9.2 targets per game (5.8 receptions).


Houston is looking to avoid a fourth straight defeat away from NRG Stadium this season. Dallas is looking for a seventh consecutive win at home this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Dallas Cowboys -17.5 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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