Free NFL Picks Today: Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 11/27/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 11/27/22
Sun 27th November 2022

The Cleveland Browns (3-7, 2-3 Home) welcome the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-5, 2-2 Away) at FirstEnergy Stadium on Sunday. The Buccaneers are 3.5-point favorites, and the total is 42.5. Tampa Bay is coming off a 21-16 win over the Seattle Seahawks at Allianz Arena on November 13.

Tom Brady was 22 of 29 for 258 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Rachaad White ran 22 times for 105 yards. Chris Godwin was targeted eight times, catching six passes for 71 yards and a touchdown. Cleveland lost 31-23 to the Buffalo Bills at Ford Field last Sunday.

Jacoby Brissett threw for 324 yards and three touchdowns. Kareem Hunt carried five times for 32 yards. Amari Cooper scored twice. He was targeted 12 times, hauling in eight receptions for 113 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since October 2018, a 26-23 win for the Buccaneers.


The Buccaneers are averaging 18.3 points per game for the season, 27th in the NFL, and they are facing a Browns defense that has surrendered 26.9 PPG (30th). Meanwhile, Cleveland has scored 24.0 points a game this season, 10th in the league, and Tampa Bay is allowing 18.0 PPG (5th).

The Buccaneers rank as one of the league’s top teams in passing yards per game (280.5, 5th), while they are 32nd in rushing yards (70.7). The Browns are 16th in passing yards allowed per game (229.3) and 23rd against the run (135.1).

Cleveland has been one of the league’s top rushing teams, averaging 150.9 yards per game (5th), while ranking 17th in passing yards (239.8). The Buccaneers are allowing 215.1 passing yards (9th) and 116.6 rushing yards per game (15th). Tampa Bay has found the end zone on 47% of red zone trips this season, sixth lowest in the NFL, averaging 3.0 trips a game (27th).


Through 10 games, Tom Brady has thrown for 12 touchdowns (2 INT) and 280.5 yards per game to lead Tampa Bay in passing. In four away games this season, he has three TDs (1 INT) and an average of 233.8 yards passing. Leonard Fournette leads the team in rushing with an average of 46.2 yards a game over 10 games.

He’s also contributed to the passing game with 31.5 receiving yards a game. He has three touchdowns on the ground. Mike Evans is the Buccaneers’ leading receiver with 74.6 yards a game and three TDs. He is averaging 5.4 receptions on 8.4 targets per game.

Jacoby Brissett has 11 passing touchdowns (5 INT) with 239.8 yards per game through 10 games to lead Cleveland. In five home games this season, he has thrown for six TDs (4 INT) and an average of 244.6 yards.

Nick Chubb has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 92.3 yards a game through 10 games. He has 11 touchdowns.

Amari Cooper has been the primary target in the Browns’ aerial attack. He has seven touchdowns and a 69.8 yard per game average through 10 appearances. Amari Cooper is averaging 8.1 targets per game (5.0 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

TB Bucs (-175)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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