Free NFL Picks Today: Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots 10/16/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots 10/16/22
Sun 16th October 2022

The New England Patriots (2-3, 1-2 Away) head to face the Cleveland Browns (2-3, 1-2 Home) at FirstEnergy Stadium on Sunday. The Browns are 2.5-point favorites, and the total is 43.New England is coming off a one-sided 29-0 win over the Detroit Lions at Gillette Stadium last Sunday. Bailey Zappe was 17 of 21 for 188 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Rhamondre Stevenson ran 25 times for 161 yards. Jakobi Meyers was targeted eight times, catching seven passes for 111 yards and a touchdown. Cleveland lost 30-28 to the Los Angeles Chargers at FirstEnergy Stadium last Sunday. Jacoby Brissett threw for 230 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. Nick Chubb carried 17 times for 134 yards and two touchdowns. David Njoku hauled in six receptions for 88 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Patriots won the only game between the teams last season, a 45-7 victory in November. Mac Jones threw three touchdowns for New England, as Rhamondre Stevenson added two TDs.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Patriots are averaging 20.6 points per game for the season, 19th in the NFL, and they are facing a Browns defense that has surrendered 25.0 PPG (24th). Meanwhile, Cleveland has scored 26.6 points a game this season, sixth in the league, and New England is allowing 19.6 PPG (12th). The Patriots rank 21st in the league in passing yards per game (222.0) and ninth in rushing (138.0). They will look to take advantage on the ground, as the Browns are 28th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (138.2). Against the pass, Cleveland is 12th (226.6).Cleveland has been the league’s top rushing team, averaging 192.4 yards per game, while ranking 24th in passing yards (212.0). The Patriots are allowing 227.2 passing yards (13th) and 128.8 rushing yards per game (21st).New England has found the end zone on 40% of trips to the red zone this season, sixth lowest in the NFL, averaging 3.0 trips a game (27th).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through three games, Mac Jones has thrown for two touchdowns (5 INT) and 262.0 yards per game to lead New England in passing. In two away games this season, he has two TDs (2 INT) and an average of 232.5 yards passing. Rhamondre Stevenson leads the team in rushing with an average of 74.4 yards a game over five games. He has one touchdown on the ground. Jakobi Meyers is the Patriots’ leading receiver with 87.0 yards a game and one TD. He is averaging 6.7 receptions on 9.0 targets per game. Jacoby Brissett has five passing touchdowns (3 INT) with 212.0 yards per game through five games to lead Cleveland. In three home games this season, he has thrown for four TDs (2 INT) and an average of 226.3 yards. Nick Chubb has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 118.6 yards a game through five games. He has seven touchdowns. Amari Cooper has been the primary target in the Browns’ aerial attack. He has three touchdowns and a 60.8 yard per game average through five appearances. Amari Cooper is averaging 8.6 targets per game (5.4 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Cleveland Browns (-140)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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