Free NFL Picks Today: Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons 10/23/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons 10/23/22
Sun 23rd October 2022

The Atlanta Falcons (3-3, 1-2 Away) head to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (3-3, 1-1 Home) at Paycor Stadium on Sunday. The Bengals are 6.5-point favorites, and the total is 47.5. Atlanta is coming off a convincing 28-14 win over the San Francisco 49ers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium last Sunday. Marcus Mariota threw for 129 yards and two touchdowns. Caleb Huntley ran 16 times for 59 yards. Olamide Zaccheaus caught four passes for 58 yards.

Cincinnati beat the New Orleans Saints 30-26 at Caesars Superdome last Sunday. Joe Burrow was 28 of 37 for 300 yards and three touchdowns. Joe Mixon carried eight times for 45 yards. Ja’Marr Chase added two touchdowns of his own. He was targeted 10 times, hauling in seven receptions for 132 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since September 2018, a 37-36 win for the Bengals.


The Falcons are averaging 24.3 points per game for the season, eighth in the NFL, and they are facing a Bengals defense that has surrendered 19.2 PPG (10th). Meanwhile, Cincinnati has scored 23.0 points a game this season, 15th in the league, and Atlanta is allowing 22.7 PPG (19th).

The Falcons rank as one of the league’s top teams in rushing yards per game (165.2, 3rd), while they are 30th in passing yards (175.8). The Bengals are 13th in passing yards allowed per game (228.2) and 21st against the run (121.0).Cincinnati is seventh in the league in passing yards per game (273.2) and 27th in rushing (89.0).

Atlanta’s defense has been most beatable through the air, as the Falcons are 31st in the league in passing yards allowed per game (291.2). Against the run, the Falcons are 9th (104.0).Atlanta has found the end zone on 67% of red zone trips this season, fifth most in the NFL, averaging 3.5 trips a game (22nd).

The Falcons will have to overcome one of the league’s best red zone defenses, as the Bengals have allowed opponents to score on only 35% of red zone trips (3rd).


Through six games, Marcus Mariota has thrown for six touchdowns (4 INT) and 175.8 yards per game to lead Atlanta in passing. In three away games this season, he has four TDs (3 INT) and an average of 190.7 yards passing.

Cordarrelle Patterson leads the team in rushing with an average of 85.0 yards a game over four games. He has three touchdowns on the ground. Drake London is the Falcons’ leading receiver with 51.0 yards a game and two TDs.

He is averaging 4.2 receptions on 7.2 targets per game.Joe Burrow has 12 passing touchdowns (5 INT) with 269.3 yards per game through six games to lead Cincinnati. In two home games this season, he has thrown for four TDs (4 INT) and an average of 312.5 yards.

Joe Mixon has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 57.8 yards a game through six games. He has two total touchdowns, one rushing and one receiving. Ja’Marr Chase has been the primary target in the Bengals’ passing game. He has four touchdowns and a 79.2 yard per game average through six appearances. Ja’Marr Chase is averaging 10.5 targets per game (6.5 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Cincinnati Bengals (-300)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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