Free NFL Picks Today: Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers 12/4/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers 12/4/22
Sun 4th December 2022

The Chicago Bears (3-9, 2-3 Home) and their great rushing offense welcome the Green Bay Packers (4-8, 1-5 Away), one of the league’s weakest ground defenses, at Soldier Field on Sunday. The Packers are 3.5-point favorites, and the total is 44.5. Green Bay is coming off a 40-33 loss at the hands of the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field last Sunday.

Aaron Rodgers threw for 140 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. AJ Dillon ran eight times for 64 yards and a touchdown. Christian Watson caught four passes for 110 yards and a touchdown.Chicago dropped a fifth straight game last Sunday, falling 31-10 to the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium.

Trevor Siemian was 14 of 25 for 179 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. David Montgomery carried 14 times for 79 yards and added three catches for 34 yards. Chase Claypool caught two receptions for 51 yards.


The Packers won the first meeting between the teams this season, a 27-10 victory in September, their seventh straight win against Chicago. Aaron Rodgers threw two touchdowns for Green Bay.


The Packers are averaging 19.6 points per game for the season, 23rd in the NFL, and they are facing a Bears defense that has surrendered 25.4 PPG (27th). Meanwhile, Chicago has scored 20.9 points a game this season, 19th in the league, and Green Bay is allowing 23.6 PPG (22nd).

The Packers rank 16th in the league in passing yards per game (239.0) and 14th in rushing (121.3), while the Bears are sixth in passing yards allowed per game (214.6) and 27th against the run (143.9). Chicago has been the league’s top rushing team, averaging 192.0 yards per game, while ranking 32nd in passing yards (152.2).

Green Bay’s defense has been vulnerable on the ground, as the Packers are 31st in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (154.8). Against the pass, the Packers are 1st (199.3).


Through 12 games, Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 21 touchdowns (9 INT) and 223.5 yards per game to lead Green Bay in passing. In six away games this season, he has nine TDs (8 INT) and an average of 213.0 yards passing. Aaron Jones leads the team in rushing with an average of 68.4 yards a game over 12 games.

He has two touchdowns on the ground. Allen Lazard is the Packers’ leading receiver with 55.3 yards a game and five TDs. Justin Fields has 13 passing touchdowns (8 INT) with 149.3 yards per game through 11 games to lead Chicago. In five home games this season, he has thrown for eight TDs (5 INT) and an average of 141.4 yards.

Justin Fields also leads the team in rushing with an average of 75.8 yards per game. He has seven touchdowns on the ground. Darnell Mooney has been the primary target in the Bears’ passing game. He has two touchdowns and a 44.8 yard per game average through 11 appearances.


Chicago has lost three in a row at home this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Chicago Bears +4.5 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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