Free NFL Picks Today: Chicago Bears vs Buffalo Bills 12/24/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Chicago Bears vs Buffalo Bills 12/24/22
Sat 24th December 2022

The Chicago Bears (3-11, 2-5 Home) will be hoping to snap their losing run when they play host to the streaking Buffalo Bills (11-3, 5-2 Away) at Soldier Field on Saturday. The Bills are eight-point favorites, and the total is 40.

Buffalo is coming off a close 32-29 win over the Miami Dolphins at Highmark Stadium last Saturday, their fifth consecutive victory. Josh Allen threw for 304 yards and four touchdowns. He also ran 10 times for 77 yards. Dawson Knox was targeted eight times, catching six passes for 98 yards and a touchdown.

Chicago dropped a seventh straight game on Sunday, falling 25-20 to the Philadelphia Eagles at Soldier Field. Justin Fields was 14 of 21 for 152 yards and two touchdowns. He added 95 yards on the ground. Byron Pringle scored once. He caught two receptions for 39 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since November 2018, a 41-9 win for the Bears.


The Bills are averaging 27.5 points per game for the season, fourth in the NFL, and they are facing a Bears defense that has surrendered 25.6 PPG (30th). Meanwhile, Chicago has scored 20.7 points a game this season, 19th in the league, and Buffalo is allowing 17.9 PPG (2nd).

The Bills rank seventh in the league in passing yards per game (276.1) and eighth in rushing (134.9), while the Bears are ninth in passing yards allowed per game (219.4) and 27th against the run (143.9).

Chicago has been the league’s top rushing team, averaging 186.9 yards per game, while ranking 32nd in passing yards (159.4). The Bills are allowing 238.1 passing yards (20th) and 106.1 rushing yards per game (6th).


Through 14 games, Josh Allen has thrown for 30 touchdowns (11 INT) and 275.5 yards per game to lead Buffalo in passing. In seven away games this season, he has 13 TDs (6 INT) and an average of 274.3 yards passing.

Josh Allen also leads the team in rushing with an average of 50.4 yards per game. He has six touchdowns on the ground. Stefon Diggs is the Bills’ leading receiver with 92.8 yards a game and 10 TDs. He is averaging 7.1 receptions on 10.1 targets per game.

Justin Fields has 15 passing touchdowns (10 INT) with 157.5 yards per game through 13 games to lead Chicago. In seven home games this season, he has thrown for 10 TDs (7 INT) and an average of 159.0 yards.

Justin Fields also leads the team in rushing with an average of 76.9 yards per game. He has eight touchdowns on the ground. Darnell Mooney has been a key target in the Bears’ aerial attack. He has two touchdowns and a 44.8 yard per game average through 11 appearances.


Chicago is looking to avoid a sixth straight home defeat this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Buffalo Bills -8.5 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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