Free NFL Picks Today: Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos 11/27/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos 11/27/22
Sun 27th November 2022

The Carolina Panthers (3-8, 3-3 Home) welcome the Denver Broncos (3-7, 1-4 Away) at Bank of America Stadium on Sunday. The Broncos are two-point favorites, and the total is 36. Denver is coming off a 22-16 loss at the hands of the Las Vegas Raiders at Empower Field at Mile High last Sunday.

Russell Wilson threw for 247 yards. Latavius Murray ran 17 times for 49 yards and a touchdown. Courtland Sutton caught five passes for 80 yards. Carolina lost 13-3 to the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium last Sunday. Baker Mayfield was 21 of 33 for 196 yards and two interceptions. D’Onta Foreman carried 11 times for 24 yards. Terrace Marshall Jr. had three receptions for 76 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since December 2020, a 32-27 win for the Broncos. Drew Lock threw four touchdowns for Denver, as KJ Hamler scored twice.


The Broncos are averaging 14.7 points per game for the season, worst in the NFL, and they are facing a Panthers defense that has surrendered 23.3 PPG (20th). Meanwhile, Carolina has scored 18.8 points a game this season, 25th in the league, and Denver is allowing 17.1 PPG (3rd).

The Broncos rank 13th in the league in passing yards per game (245.2) and 25th in rushing (102.6), while the Panthers are 17th in passing yards allowed per game (232.3) and 27th against the run (137.0). Carolina has been one of the league’s least productive passing teams, averaging 191.2 passing yards per game (29th), while ranking 19th in rushing yards (110.6).

Denver’s defense has been strong through the air, as the Broncos are 5th in the league in passing yards allowed per game (207.6). Against the run, the Broncos are 14th (115.3). Denver is averaging 2.2 trips to the red zone a game this season (33rd in the NFL), finding the end zone a league-worst 36% of the time.

Carolina ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the league, advancing inside the 20-yard-line only 2.3 times per game (33rd) and scoring a touchdown on 52% of those possessions (21st). Denver has been tough to beat when defending their own red zone, holding opponents to a conversion percentage of only 27%, best in the league.


Through nine games, Russell Wilson has thrown for seven touchdowns (5 INT) and 247.4 yards per game to lead Denver in passing. In five away games this season, he has six TDs (2 INT) and an average of 260.6 yards passing.

Melvin Gordon III leads the team in rushing with an average of 31.8 yards a game over 10 games. He has two touchdowns on the ground. Courtland Sutton is the Broncos’ leading receiver with 61.3 yards a game and one TD.

He is averaging 4.6 receptions on 8.0 targets per game. Baker Mayfield has six passing touchdowns (6 INT) with 187.6 yards per game through seven games to lead Carolina. In four home games this season, he has thrown for three TDs (4 INT) and an average of 204.2 yards.

D’Onta Foreman has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 45.0 yards a game through 10 games. He has four touchdowns. DJ Moore has been a key target in the Panthers’ aerial attack. He has three touchdowns and a 45.6 yard per game average through 11 appearances. DJ Moore is averaging 7.5 targets per game (3.8 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Denver Broncos (-120)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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