Free NFL Picks Today: Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins 12/17/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins 12/17/22
Sat 17th December 2022

The Buffalo Bills (10-3, 5-1 Home) will be looking to extend their winning streak when they welcome the Miami Dolphins (8-5, 3-4 Away) at Highmark Stadium on Saturday. The Bills are seven-point favorites, and the total is 44. Miami is coming off a 23-17 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers at SoFi Stadium on Sunday.

Tua Tagovailoa threw for 145 yards and a touchdown. Raheem Mostert ran 11 times for 37 yards. Tyreek Hill was targeted 10 times, catching four passes for 81 yards and a touchdown.

Buffalo won for the fourth straight game on Sunday, beating the New York Jets 20-12 at Highmark Stadium. Josh Allen was 16 of 27 for 147 yards and a touchdown. He added 47 yards and a touchdown on the ground. Dawson Knox also scored once. He had four receptions for 41 yards.


The Dolphins won the first meeting between the teams this season, a 21-19 victory in September. Tua Tagovailoa threw one touchdown for Miami. Josh Allen tossed two touchdowns for Buffalo.


The Dolphins are averaging 24.3 points per game for the season, ninth in the NFL, and they are facing a Bills defense that has surrendered 17.0 PPG (2nd). Meanwhile, Buffalo has scored 27.2 points a game this season, fourth in the league, and Miami is allowing 24.0 PPG (22nd).

The Dolphins rank as one of the league’s top teams in passing yards per game (292.6, 2nd), while they are 29th in rushing yards (89.9). The Bills are 20th in passing yards allowed per game (238.5) and fourth against the run (99.9).

Buffalo is sixth in the league in passing yards per game (273.9) and eighth in rushing (133.7), while the Dolphins are allowing 260.5 passing yards (26th) and 108.3 rushing yards per game (7th).


Through 11 games, Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for 22 touchdowns (5 INT) and 273.1 yards per game to lead Miami in passing. In six away games this season, he has 15 TDs (5 INT) and an average of 283.8 yards passing.

Raheem Mostert leads the team in rushing with an average of 50.8 yards a game over 12 games. He has three touchdowns on the ground. Tyreek Hill is the Dolphins’ leading receiver with 112.3 yards a game and six TDs.

He is averaging 7.7 receptions on 10.7 targets per game.Josh Allen has 26 passing touchdowns (11 INT) with 273.3 yards per game through 13 games to lead Buffalo.

In six home games this season, he has thrown for 13 TDs (5 INT) and an average of 272.2 yards. Devin Singletary has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 49.4 yards a game through 13 games.

He has five total touchdowns, four rushing and one receiving. Stefon Diggs has been the primary target in the Bills’ aerial attack. He has 10 touchdowns and a 95.3 yard per game average through 13 appearances. Stefon Diggs is averaging 10.2 targets per game (7.2 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Miami Dolphins +7 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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