The Green Bay Packers (3-4, 1-2 Away) and their suffocating passing defense travel to take on the Buffalo Bills (5-1, 2-0 Home) and their explosive aerial offense at Highmark Stadium on Sunday. The Bills are 11-point favorites, and the total is 47. Green Bay is coming off a tight 23-21 loss at the hands of the Washington Commanders at FedEx Field last Sunday, their third straight defeat.
Aaron Rodgers threw for 194 yards and two touchdowns. Aaron Jones ran eight times for 23 yards. He added nine receptions for 53 yards and two touchdowns. Allen Lazard caught six passes for 55 yards. Buffalo won for the third straight game on October 16, beating the Kansas City Chiefs 24-20 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Josh Allen was 27 of 40 for 329 yards and three touchdowns. Devin Singletary carried 17 times for 85 yards. Stefon Diggs scored once. He was targeted 13 times, hauling in 10 receptions for 148 yards.
The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since September 2018, a 22-0 win for the Packers.
TALE OF THE TAPE
The Packers are averaging 18.3 points per game for the season, 23rd in the NFL, and they are facing a Bills defense that has surrendered 13.5 PPG (1st). Meanwhile, Buffalo has scored 29.3 points a game this season, second in the league, and Green Bay is allowing 20.9 PPG (14th).
The Packers rank 19th in the league in passing yards per game (238.6) and 18th in rushing (110.3). They will face a tough test on the ground, as the Bills are No. 1 in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (76.2). Against the pass, Buffalo is 15th (226.3).Buffalo has been the league’s top passing team, averaging 331.3 passing yards per game, while ranking 16th in rushing yards (117.8).
Green Bay’s defense has been equally impressive through the air, as the Packers are No. 1 in the league in passing yards allowed per game (183.1). Against the run, the Packers are 27th (139.6). Green Bay is averaging 2.9 red zone trips a game this season, third lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 60% of the time (9th).
Through seven games, Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 11 touchdowns (3 INT) and 228.1 yards per game to lead Green Bay in passing. In three away games this season, he has four TDs (2 INT) and an average of 214.7 yards passing. Aaron Jones leads the team in rushing with an average of 61.7 yards a game over seven games.
He has one touchdown on the ground. Allen Lazard is the Packers’ leading receiver with 56.7 yards a game and four TDs. Josh Allen has 17 passing touchdowns (4 INT) with 330.0 yards per game through six games to lead Buffalo.
In two home games this season, he has thrown for eight TDs (1 INT) and an average of 370.5 yards. Josh Allen also leads the team in rushing with an average of 42.8 yards per game. He has two touchdowns on the ground. Stefon Diggs has been a workhorse in the Bills’ aerial attack.
He has six touchdowns and a 109.3 yard per game average through six appearances. Stefon Diggs is averaging 10.8 targets per game (8.2 receptions).
HOME AND AWAY
Buffalo is undefeated at home this season.
SportsTips’ NFL Pick:
Buffalo Bills (-500)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.