Free NFL Picks Today: Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers 1/1/23

Free NFL Picks Today: Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers 1/1/23
Sun 1st January 2023

The Pittsburgh Steelers (7-8, 4-4 Away) head to face the Baltimore Ravens (10-5, 5-2 Home) at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday. The Ravens are 2.5-point favorites, and the total is 35. Pittsburgh is coming off a close 13-10 win over the Las Vegas Raiders at Acrisure Stadium last Saturday.

Kenny Pickett was 26 of 39 for 244 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Najee Harris ran 16 times for 53 yards. He added six receptions for 42 yards. Pat Freiermuth was targeted eight times, catching seven passes for 66 yards.

Baltimore beat the Atlanta Falcons 17-9 at M&T Bank Stadium last Saturday. Tyler Huntley threw for 115 yards and a touchdown. Gus Edwards carried 11 times for 99 yards. Mark Andrews had three receptions for 45 yards.


The Ravens won the first meeting between the teams this season, a 16-14 victory in December.


The Steelers are averaging 17.6 points per game for the season, 29th in the NFL, and they are facing a Ravens defense that has surrendered 18.1 PPG (3rd). Meanwhile, Baltimore has scored 21.4 points a game this season, 15th in the league, and Pittsburgh is allowing 21.3 PPG (13th).

The Steelers rank 24th in the league in passing yards per game (219.9) and 18th in rushing (115.4). They can expect a tough test on the ground, as the Ravens are third in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (87.5).

Against the pass, Baltimore is 28th (257.9).Baltimore has been one of the league’s top rushing teams, averaging 166.0 yards per game (2nd), while ranking 30th in passing yards (185.7).

The Steelers are allowing 247.1 passing yards (23rd) and 105.6 rushing yards per game (6th).Baltimore ranks as one of the least productive red zone offenses in the NFL, scoring a touchdown on just 46% (30th) of the team’s possessions inside the 20.


Through 11 games, Kenny Pickett has thrown for five touchdowns (9 INT) and 185.5 yards per game to lead Pittsburgh in passing. In five away games this season, he has two TDs (5 INT) and an average of 229.2 yards passing. Najee Harris leads the team in rushing with an average of 56.2 yards a game over 15 games.

He has six touchdowns on the ground. Diontae Johnson is the Steelers’ leading receiver with 53.9 yards a game. He is averaging 5.5 receptions on 8.7 targets per game. Lamar Jackson has 17 passing touchdowns (7 INT) with 186.8 yards per game through 12 games to lead Baltimore. In six home games this season, he has thrown for five TDs (4 INT) and an average of 162.7 yards.

Lamar Jackson also leads the team in rushing with an average of 63.7 yards per game. He has three touchdowns on the ground. Mark Andrews has been a key target in the Ravens’ passing game. He has five touchdowns and a 53.4 yard per game average through 14 appearances. Mark Andrews is averaging 7.4 targets per game (4.6 receptions).


Pittsburgh is looking for a fourth consecutive road win this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Pittsburgh Steelers (+110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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