Free NFL Picks Today: Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers 11/6/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers 11/6/22
Sun 6th November 2022

The Los Angeles Chargers (4-3, 2-1 Away) and their explosive passing offense are on the road to take on the Atlanta Falcons (4-4, 3-1 Home), one of the league’s weakest aerial defenses, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday. The Chargers are three-point favorites, and the total is 49.5.

Los Angeles is coming off a 37-23 loss against the Seattle Seahawks at SoFi Stadium on October 23. Justin Herbert was 33 of 51 for 293 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Austin Ekeler ran nine times for 31 yards and a touchdown. He added 12 receptions for 96 yards and a touchdown.

Atlanta beat the Carolina Panthers 37-34 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium last Sunday. Marcus Mariota threw for 253 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions. Caleb Huntley carried 16 times for 91 yards. Kyle Pitts scored once. He was targeted nine times, hauling in five receptions for 80 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since December 2020, a 20-17 win for the Chargers. Justin Herbert threw two touchdowns for Los Angeles.


The Chargers are averaging 23.4 points per game for the season, 11th in the NFL, and they are facing a Falcons defense that has surrendered 25.6 PPG (29th). Meanwhile, Atlanta has scored 25.0 points a game this season, sixth in the league, and Los Angeles is allowing 27.0 PPG (31st).

The Chargers rank as one of the league’s top teams in passing yards per game (287.0, 5th), while they are 27th in rushing yards (88.9). Look for them to exploit a matchup advantage through the air, as the Falcons are worst in the league in passing yards allowed per game (318.1).

Against the run, Atlanta is 11th (108.9).Atlanta has been one of the league’s top rushing teams, averaging 158.1 yards per game (5th), while ranking 29th in passing yards (179.0). The Chargers are allowing 238.0 passing yards (18th) and 137.6 rushing yards per game (27th).


Through seven games, Justin Herbert has thrown for 12 touchdowns (4 INT) and 287.0 yards per game to lead Los Angeles in passing. In three away games this season, he has six TDs (1 INT) and an average of 300.7 yards passing. Austin Ekeler leads the team in rushing with an average of 54.3 yards a game over seven games.

He’s also contributed to the passing game with 51.0 receiving yards a game. He has five touchdowns on the ground. Mike Williams is the Chargers’ leading receiver with 70.7 yards a game and three TDs. He is averaging 5.3 receptions on 8.4 targets per game. Marcus Mariota has 10 passing touchdowns (6 INT) with 179.0 yards per game through eight games to lead Atlanta.

In four home games this season, he has thrown for five TDs (3 INT) and an average of 184.0 yards. Cordarrelle Patterson has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 85.0 yards a game through four games.

He has three touchdowns. Drake London has been a key target in the Falcons’ passing game. He has two touchdowns and a 43.2 yard per game average through eight appearances.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

LA Chargers (-165)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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