Free NFL Picks Today: Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears 11/20/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears 11/20/22
Sun 20th November 2022

Two of the league’s top running offenses are set to face off at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, as the Atlanta Falcons (4-6, 3-2 Home) play host to the Chicago Bears (3-7, 1-4 Away). The Falcons are three-point favorites, and the total is 49.

Chicago is coming off a narrow 31-30 loss to the Detroit Lions at Soldier Field last Sunday, their third consecutive defeat. Justin Fields was 12 of 20 for 167 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He also ran 13 times for 147 yards and two touchdowns. Cole Kmet caught four passes for 74 yards and two touchdowns.

Atlanta lost 25-15 to the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium last Thursday. Marcus Mariota threw for 186 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception. He added 43 yards on the ground. Damiere Byrd had three receptions for 58 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since September 2020, a 30-26 win for the Bears. Nick Foles threw three touchdowns for Chicago.


The Bears are averaging 21.7 points per game for the season, 20th in the NFL, and they are facing a Falcons defense that has surrendered 25.0 PPG (27th). Meanwhile, Atlanta has scored 23.2 points a game this season, 12th in the league, and Chicago is allowing 24.7 PPG (25th).

The Bears rank as the league’s top team in rushing yards per game (201.7, 1st), while they are 32nd in passing yards (149.4). The Falcons are 31st in passing yards allowed per game (289.8) and 18th against the run (119.4).

Atlanta has been one of the league’s top rushing teams, averaging 160.4 yards per game (4th), while ranking 30th in passing yards (174.7). Chicago’s defense has been beatable on the ground, as the Bears are 28th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (142.0). Against the pass, the Bears are 6th (212.9).


Through 10 games, Justin Fields has thrown for 12 touchdowns (7 INT) and 148.9 yards per game to lead Chicago in passing. In five away games this season, he has four TDs (2 INT) and an average of 156.4 yards passing.

Justin Fields also leads the team in rushing with an average of 74.9 yards per game. He has six touchdowns on the ground. Darnell Mooney is the Bears’ leading receiver with 46.4 yards a game and one TD. Marcus Mariota has 12 passing touchdowns (7 INT) with 174.7 yards per game through 10 games to lead Atlanta.

In five home games this season, he has thrown for five TDs (3 INT) and an average of 173.0 yards. Tyler Allgeier has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 49.2 yards a game through nine games.

He has two total touchdowns, one rushing and one receiving. Drake London has been the primary target in the Falcons’ aerial attack. He has three touchdowns and a 40.7 yard per game average through 10 appearances.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Chicago Bears (+130)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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