It’s been a long season, the longest in NFL history actually because of the 17 game regular season, but we finally made it to Super Bowl 56! We started with a field of 32 teams and now we are left without just two: the Los Angeles Rams and Cincinnati Bengals. Here’s a look at all the odds for the Super Bowl and why they stand where they do.
Super Bowl Odds: Los Angeles Rams -4
The Rams will enter Super Bowl 56 as 4 point favorites over the Bengals. They started the season with the fourth best odds to win it all in the NFL at +1200, only behind Kansas City, Tampa Bay, and Buffalo. The odds never changed much during the season, even after a mid-season slide that included losses to the Packers, Titans, and 49ers after starting the season 7-1.
Quarterback Matthew Stafford even had a solid case for MVP early on but that losing streak pretty much killed the chances of that. His struggles continued on into the final weeks of the regular season, as he threw 7 interceptions in the final 3 games, and the Rams blew a 14-point lead in week 18 that allowed division rival San Francisco into the playoffs.
— Super Bowl LVI on NBC (@SNFonNBC) February 12, 2022
They missed out on a first round bye, but quickly got things turned around in the wild card round of the playoffs, taking down their other division rival Arizona Cardinals 34-11 at home. They then went on to end the career of Tom Brady in the divisional round and it indicated that they were peaking at the perfect time.
The Rams then reversed roles with San Francisco in the NFC Championship, as it was them making the comeback this time in a 20-17 win to send them to the Super Bowl. Now they sit as favorites to win Super Bowl 56 in their home stadium.
Super Bowl Odds: Cincinnati Bengals +4
The Bengals season started with a lot of question marks. The main one was about the offensive line and how they would protect QB Joe Burrow after he tore his ACL in Week 11 last season. The questions got louder after they passed on taking WR J’Marr Chase at 5 in the draft over an offensive lineman.
They entered the season at +15000 odds to win Super Bowl 56, which was only ahead of the Texans and Lions. It wasn’t a perfect regular season for them, with losses to the Bears and Jets but they battled through and ended up winning the AFC North at 10-7. After winning three of the final four regular season games, they earned a home playoff game for the wild card round against the Las Vegas Raiders.
— NFL Films (@NFLFilms) February 11, 2022
It was their first home playoff game for the franchise in over 30 years. Rookie wide receiver put all questions to bed with one of the best rookie seasons of all time, finishing with 81 catches for 1455 yards and 13 touchdowns. The wild card round win over the Raiders earned them a game against the 1 seed Titans.
Tennessee was definitely one of the worst 1 seeds in recent history but you can only play who is put in front of you and they took care of them with a last second field goal to send them to the AFC championship, where they were set to meet the Kansas City Chiefs.
They quickly got down 3-21 but fought back to win in overtime 27-24 to win the AFC. They’re now in the Super Bowl as 4 point underdogs where they’ll hope to keep their improbable run going.
Super Bowl Odds: The Spread (-4)
The line at -4 is interesting because it shows the books believe in the Bengals who have a significantly less talented roster on paper than the Rams. It’s hard to doubt the magic that Joe Burrow and the boys have been able to conjure up these past few weeks.
But like I said, the talent is clearly on the Rams side, and they have a clear advantage with their elite pass-rushing against this weak offensive line. Lets not forget that in their win over the Titans, the Bengals gave up 9 sacks. If the Rams can get any type of pressure close to that level it could be a long day for Cincinnati. It is worth noting that the Bengals are 7-0 against the spread in their last seven games though.
Super Bowl Odds: Over/Under (48.5)
Regular season and playoffs included, the under is 12-9 in Bengals games and 9-10-1 in Rams games. With the game being in the Rams stadium I think it’s fair if we look at them as the home team, and if we work under that notion, the Rams are 6-4 to the under as the home team and 8-2 in Bengals road games.
— Cincinnati Bengals (@Bengals) February 11, 2022
These facts along without the assumption that the Bengals won’t be able to operate too efficiently on offense points to the under being the best bet for me in the game. I don’t foresee this one being a crazy shootout.
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*Odds correct at time of writing.