Super Bowl LVI: Best Super Bowl Prop Bets

Super Bowl LVI: Best Super Bowl Prop Bets
Thu 10th February 2022

With the Super Bowl just a couple of days away, bettors are eagerly following the big game’s spread, moneyline, and totals to walk away with a big return. With the goal of feeling just as victorious as either the Cincinnati Bengals or Los Angeles Rams will Sunday night. 

The bets are already flowing: as of late last week, The Spun announced that the largest bet placed on the game was a $4.5 million bet on the Cincinnati moneyline (which at the time was +170).  While the highest bets revolve around the two teams playing, there’s a reason Super Bowl Sunday is one of, if not the, busiest day of betting in American sports. 

In recent years, prop bets have become as much of a tradition as the game itself. They seem to cover every aspect of the pre-game, game, and post-game. From player statistics to national anthem length to Gatorade color and everything (and I mean everything) in between. Below some of the in-game prop bets are explored.

As if the pre-game hype wasn’t already enough, the prop bets start piling up almost instantly; before one down has even been played. In the pre-game, prop bets for things such as the national anthem length, opening coin toss, and whose family we see first get underway. Those are always fun bets to get fans in the mood for the game and a precursor for the madness that’s about to begin. 


Right off the bat, there are a couple of risky prop bets to stay away from—one prop is for “Team to Achieve First 1st Down of the Game”, but that one can be a risk until the coin flip decides who receives first. Another risky bet is for “Either Team to Score on First Offensive Play”. The likelihood of that happening is so minuscule and picking “no” is currently at -7000; so it’s better to save your money. 

The first prop bets that catches my eye give a wider variety of options: such as first drive results. Each team has the options of “touchdown, field goal attempt, punt, or any other.” It should be mentioned that during the regular season, both Los Angeles and Cincinnati ranked toward the middle of the league in first-quarter offense. 

Take that information as you will, but with punt being at -116 for the Rams and -148 for the Bengals that’s not a bad one. On the contrary, this game is in Los Angeles, so I wouldn’t overlook at least a Rams field goal attempt on the first drive to set the tone.

Through the entire season and postseason, these two teams have had exhilarating offenses. They’re led by two astounding pass offenses, with both teams being in the league’s top ten for pass yards per game. Star quarterbacks Joe Burrow and Matt Stafford sit at the helms for Cincinnati and Los Angeles respectively, and they’re thrilled to have some stellar receiving targets. 

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For Burrow, that’s second-team all-pro Ja’Marr Chase and for Stafford, that’s first-team all-pro Connor Kupp. In addition to these two, both teams have exceptional receiving units, so it feels like a safe bet for the first touchdown to come from a wideout. 

Currently, that’s at -130—for either team—so that’s a safe prop that can still get you a solid return. But don’t count out the running backs: even though both these teams’ defenses have mean front sevens, the Bengals running back Joe Mixon is very much an integral part of the team’s offense (that would be at +220 for either teams’ running back). 

Position props have endless possibilities; each position has what seems like infinite outcomes. But when digging around there were a couple of gems that really stuck out to me. While I previously mentioned both of these teams starting slow, they both seem to get in their groove around the second and third quarters. 

So far in this postseason, Burrow and Stafford have both either thrown touchdowns in the second or third quarters of each game. For this game Burrow is currently at +120 to throw one in the 2nd quarter and at +145 in the 3rd quarter. For Stafford, he’s at +100 for the 2nd and at +135 for the 3rd. With all of these being in the + range and with these two always seeming to catch fire around those times, these are some favorable odds to look out for. 


The final prop I have my eyes on falls under time of possession: the Rams are at -130 for this, while the Bengals sit at +106. If you look at the numbers from the regular season, Cincinnati ranked 10th in the NFL in time of possession, while the Rams ranked 20th. 

But, the Rams had a T.O.P at around 31 minutes at SoFi Stadium this year (the benefits of playing this game at home). Meanwhile, Cincinnati’s road T.O.P was in the bottom half of the league at just over 29:30 per away game. So whether you want to apply the overall stats or the home/ road splits for this one, that can be the difference-maker for a sizable difference in return. 

The Super Bowl can be an unreflective example of a team’s season. The nerves, the game plans, everything can flip for this highly anticipated event. Just think back to Super Bowl 48 between the Broncos’ record-breaking offense and the Seahawks’ league-leading defense. The Seahawks won 43-8, with their defense living up to its ranking. But as good as that unit was, no one thought they would be able to limit the Broncos’ offense to only 8 points. 

Advising on Super Bowl prop bets can be tough: a lot of times all previous regular season and postseason data is thrown out the window once the game gets underway. It can be an unpredictable showdown, but the bets above should be safe ones that still provide a bit of a return.

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*Odds correct at time of writing.

Michael is an avid follower of America's "Big Four" major sports, and a massive fan of European soccer. He may be a die-hard Seattle sports fan, but he's also one of their biggest critics—so there never has to be any fear over "biased picks." Michael makes sure to watch all games with a meticulous eye, so he can offer the highest quality picks and analysis for all readers.