Free NBA Picks Today: Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat 4/7/23

Free NBA Picks Today: Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat 4/7/23
Fri 7th April 2023

The Washington Wizards (34-46, 18-21 Home) will try to break down one of the NBA’s top scoring defenses when they host the Miami Heat (43-37, 17-23 Away) on Friday. Miami is playing on back-to-back days after blowing out the Philadelphia 76ers 129-101 at Wells Fargo Center yesterday, their third win in a row.

Jimmy Butler had a standout performance with 24 points and six assists. The Heat are seventh in the Eastern Conference. Washington lost their fourth in a row in blowout fashion on Wednesday at State Farm Arena, falling to the Atlanta Hawks 134-116. Daniel Gafford had 25 points and 10 rebounds in the losing effort to lead the team. The Wizards are 13th in the Eastern Conference.

The teams are meeting for the final time this season. Washington will be looking to level the season series after getting the win in only one of the three earlier matchups. Miami won the most recent showdown 110-107 at FTX Arena in November 2022. Bam Adebayo led the Heat with 38 points, 12 rebounds, and three assists.

Bradley Beal had 28 points and three blocks in the losing effort. Butler (22.9 ppg), Adebayo (20.6), and Tyler Herro (20.3) have led the Heat in scoring this season.

Adebayo also has grabbed 9.3 rebounds per game, while Butler has dished 5.3 assists per game.Kristaps Porzingis (23.2 ppg) and Kyle Kuzma (21.2) have powered the Wizards on offense. Porzingis also has pulled down 8.4 rebounds per game.

Monte Morris has doled out 5.3 assists per game.The Heat rank as one of the toughest scoring defenses in the league, second-best with 109.7 points per game allowed. The Heat have had the advantage in the last 10 visits to Capital One Arena, winning six.

Meanwhile, the Heat are 7-6 this season when playing two days in a row and 4-5 in such games against rested opponents. The Wizards are 6-3 with a rest advantage.

In the last 10 games, Miami is 6-4 with an average margin of +2.0 (113.6-111.6). Washington has gone 2-8 over the last 10, allowing 122.9 points per game on average while scoring only 116.6 (-6.3 margin). The Wizards are averaging 113.2 ppg for the full season while allowing 114.5.


(Last Five | Season Average | Differential)
Points per game:
Kyle Lowry: 8.5 | 11.4 | -2.9
Rebounds per game:
Kevin Love: 4.8 | 6.5 | -1.7
Assists per game:
Jimmy Butler: 8.0 | 5.3 | +2.7


(Last Five | Season Average | Differential)
Points + Rebounds + Assists:
Kristaps Porzingis: 51.0 | 34.2 | +16.8
Points per game:
Kristaps Porzingis: 32.0 | 23.2 | +8.8
Rebounds per game:
Kristaps Porzingis: 13.0 | 8.4 | +4.6
Assists per game:
Monte Morris: 7.0 | 5.3 | +1.7

SportsTips’ NBA Pick:

Miami Heat (-190)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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