Free NBA Picks Today: Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat 3/28/23

Free NBA Picks Today: Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat 3/28/23
Tue 28th March 2023

It figures to be a low-scoring affair when the Toronto Raptors (37-38, 25-14 Home) host the Miami Heat (40-35, 15-21 Away) on Tuesday. Miami was outplayed by the Brooklyn Nets 129-100 at FTX Arena on Saturday.

Tyler Herro was a top performer in the losing effort with 23 points. The Heat are seventh in the Eastern Conference. Toronto found victory on Sunday at Scotiabank Arena, beating the Washington Wizards 114-104.

OG Anunoby led the team in scoring with 29 points. With 28 points and seven assists, Fred VanVleet also produced a strong performance. The Raptors are ninth in the Eastern Conference. It’s the final meeting of the season between the teams.

Miami will be looking to level the season series after coming out on top in only one of the three prior matchups. Toronto won the most recent showdown 112-104 at Scotiabank Arena in November 2022. Anunoby led the Raptors with 32 points and 10 rebounds. Max Strus had 20 points in the losing effort.

The Heat have been led this season by Jimmy Butler (22.8 ppg), Bam Adebayo (20.9), and Herro (20.3). Adebayo also has grabbed 9.3 rebounds per game, while Butler has dished 5.1 assists per game. Pascal Siakam (24.2 ppg) has been the primary provider of the Raptors’ offense.

Siakam also has posted 7.8 rebounds per game. VanVleet has doled out 7.0 assists per game. The Heat and the Raptors are two of the top scoring defenses in the NBA, ranking second and fifth in points per game allowed, respectively.

Miami is holding opponents to 109.9 per game, while opposing offenses are averaging 111.9 against Toronto. The Raptors have had the advantage in recent clashes between the teams at Scotiabank Arena, winning seven of the last 10.

Miami is 6-4 in the last 10 games with an average margin of -1.1 (115.8-116.9). For the season, the Heat are averaging 109.1 points per game, compared to 109.9 for opponents. Toronto has split the last 10 (5-5), scoring 115.7 points per game on average while allowing 111.3 (+4.4 margin).


(Last Five | Season Average | Differential)
Points + Rebounds + Assists:
Victor Oladipo: 7.0 | 16.7 | -9.7
Points per game:
Kyle Lowry: 8.0 | 11.6 | -3.6
Rebounds per game:
Kevin Love: 4.8 | 6.6 | -1.8


(Last Five | Season Average | Differential)
Points + Rebounds + Assists:
Scottie Barnes: 16.0 | 27.0 | -11.0
Points per game:
Fred VanVleet: 25.0 | 19.8 | +5.2
Scottie Barnes: 9.3 | 15.5 | -6.1
Rebounds per game:
Scottie Barnes: 3.7 | 6.8 | -3.2

SportsTips’ NBA Pick:

Toronto Raptors (-210)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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