Free NBA Picks Today: Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks 3/4/23

Free NBA Picks Today: Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks 3/4/23
Sat 4th March 2023

The Atlanta Hawks (32-31, 14-18 Away), one of the NBA’s top scoring teams, head to face the Miami Heat (33-31, 19-12 Home) on Saturday. Both teams will be playing their second game in as many days. The Hawks are 2-6 without rest, while the Heat are 5-4.

Atlanta outplayed the Portland Trail Blazers 129-111 at State Farm Arena yesterday. With 41 points and six assists, Dejounte Murray had a standout performance. The Hawks are the eighth seed in the Eastern Conference.

Miami lost their third in a row at home in a close one yesterday at FTX Arena, falling to the New York Knicks 122-120. Jimmy Butler had 33 points and eight rebounds in the losing effort to lead the team. The Heat are the seventh seed in the Eastern Conference.

The teams are meeting for the last time this season. Atlanta and Miami have split their two matchups this season. The Hawks earned the win in the last meeting, beating the Heat 121-113 at State Farm Arena on January 16. Murray led the Hawks with 28 points and seven assists. Butler had 34 points in the loss.

The Hawks have been led this season by Trae Young, who is averaging 27.0 points per game, 10th-highest in the NBA. Young also has dished 10.1 assists per game, second-most in the NBA. Meanwhile, Clint Capela is grabbing 11.3 rebounds.

Butler (22.0 ppg), Bam Adebayo (21.2), and Tyler Herro (20.4) have powered the Heat’s offense. Adebayo also has averaged 9.7 rebounds per game, while Butler has distributed 5.0 assists per game. The Hawks are one of the highest-scoring offenses in the league, ranking fourth with 117.1 points per game.

The Hawks have not found much success at FTX Arena in recent seasons, losing nine of the last 10 trips. Atlanta has dropped three in a row away from State Farm Arena this season.

In the last 10 games, Atlanta is 5-5 with an average margin of +0.6 (120.5-119.9). Miami has gone 4-6 over the last 10, allowing 111.3 points per game on average while scoring only 105.2 (-6.1 margin).


(Last Five | Season Average | Differential)
Points + Rebounds + Assists:
John Collins: 12.3 | 21.1 | -8.8
Points per game:
Saddiq Bey: 9.2 | 14.3 | -5.1
Rebounds per game:
John Collins: 3.3 | 6.9 | -3.6


(Last Five | Season Average | Differential)
Points + Rebounds + Assists:
Victor Oladipo: 9.8 | 17.1 | -7.3
Points per game:
Max Strus: 7.2 | 12.2 | -5.0
Rebounds per game:
Bam Adebayo: 6.4 | 9.7 | -3.3

SportsTips’ NBA Pick:

Miami Heat (-125)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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