Free NBA Picks Today: Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat 3/19/23

Free NBA Picks Today: Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat 3/19/23
Sun 19th March 2023

The Detroit Pistons (16-55, 9-28 Home) will try to overcome one of the NBA’s top scoring defenses when they host the Miami Heat (38-34, 14-21 Away) on Sunday. Miami is playing on back-to-back days after being beaten by the Chicago Bulls 113-99 at United Center yesterday.

Jimmy Butler led the way in defeat with 24 points and seven rebounds. The Heat are the seventh seed in the Eastern Conference. Detroit lost in blowout fashion on Thursday at Little Caesars Arena, falling to the Denver Nuggets 119-100.

Rodney McGruder had 20 points and eight rebounds in defeat, leading the team. The Pistons are 15th in the Eastern Conference. This marks the final meeting of the season between the teams. After taking the only earlier season matchup against Miami 116-96 at FTX Arena in December 2022, Detroit will be seeking a season sweep.

Bojan Bogdanovic led the Pistons with 31 points. Tyler Herro had 34 points and six assists in defeat. The Heat have been led this season by Butler (22.6 ppg), Bam Adebayo (21.0), and Herro (20.2). Adebayo also has grabbed 9.3 rebounds per game, while Butler has dished 5.0 assists per game.

Bogdanovic (21.6 ppg) has supplied much of the Pistons’ offense. Jalen Duren is pulling down 8.9 rebounds per game, and Killian Hayes is distributing 6.1 assists. The Heat are holding opponents to 109.7 points per game, ranking as one of the stingiest scoring defenses in the NBA (2nd).The Heat are 3-4 in seven visits to Little Caesars Arena.

Meanwhile, the Heat are 6-5 this season when playing on consecutive nights and 3-4 in such games against opponents with at least a day of rest. The Pistons are 5-4 with a rest advantage. Miami is 5-5 in the last 10 games with an average margin of -1.8 (115.2-117.0).

For the season, the Heat are averaging 109.0 points per game, compared to 109.7 for opponents. Detroit has gone 1-9 over the last 10, allowing 114.4 points per game on average while scoring only 106.4 (-8.0 margin).


(Last Five | Season Average | Differential)
Points per game:
Jimmy Butler: 28.4 | 22.6 | +5.8
Rebounds per game:
Kevin Love: 4.6 | 6.7 | -2.1
Assists per game:
Jimmy Butler: 3.2 | 5.0 | -1.8


(Last Five | Season Average | Differential)
Points + Rebounds + Assists:
James Wiseman: 26.8 | 15.6 | +11.2
Marvin Bagley III: 10.5 | 18.7 | -8.2
Points per game:
James Wiseman: 15.2 | 9.3 | +5.9
Marvin Bagley III: 6.0 | 11.3 | -5.3
Rebounds per game:
James Wiseman: 11.0 | 5.6 | +5.4
Marvin Bagley III: 4.0 | 6.7 | -2.7
Assists per game:
Killian Hayes: 8.6 | 6.1 | +2.5

SportsTips’ NBA Pick:

Miami Heat -9.5 (-105)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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