MLB Picks Today for World Series Game Six: Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros

MLB Picks Today for World Series Game Six: Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros
Mon 1st November 2021

The series we’ve all been waiting for moves back to Houston for Game Six! The Braves still have a series lead, at 3-2, but lost the chance to win the World Series in front of a home crowd. The Braves won the first game, 6-2, then the Astros hit back instantly, winning the second game, 7-2. In Game Three, it was a low scoring affair that saw the Braves get over the line, 2-0, and in Game Four, the Braves narrowly got across the line, 3-2. The Astros, with their backs up against the wall, won Game Five in a high scoring affair, 9-5. Looking at the outright World Series winner, the Braves are still the favorites, at -240, with the Astros the underdogs, at +200.

Look below to find our free MLB picks for tonight’s World Series Game Six between the Atlanta Braves and the Houston Astros!

Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros (Game 6) – 8.09pm EDT

The Braves have their second chance to win the World Series in Game Six, but they will have to get the win in Houston. It was a high scoring affair in Game Five, and the Braves were on top early, thanks to a Grand Slam home run, but things quickly changed, and the Astros ended up getting the win they needed to stay in the World Series, 9-5. Can the Astros continue their winning ways and drag this series out to the full seven games, or will the Braves be crowned champions in front of an Astros crowd?

Katherine Mouradian

A topsy-turvy Game Five that had a bit of everything, including a Grand Slam home run and multiple lead changes, but at the end of the day the Astros saved the series and have dragged it out to at least six games. The Braves get another chance to win the World Series, but will have to do so in Houston. Will it be second time lucky for the Braves, or will we be going to a seven game World Series?

It all looked hunky dory for the Braves after a Grand Slam home run in the first innings, but they weren’t able to hold onto that momentum. Duvall’s Grand Slam really got the crowd going, but the Astros just kept chipping away. We will be seeing Fried on the mound for the Braves in Game Six. We saw Fried on the mound in Game Two, where he struggled, allowing six runs on seven hits, which was across five innings. But if you look at his record overall this season, is it excellent, at 14-7, which includes an ERA of 3.04. Looking at his numbers on the road, they are also very good, with a record of 7-4, which includes an ERA of 3.14.

Even being down 0-4 after the first innings, the Astros didn’t stop believing that they had the ability to win the game, and that’s exactly what they did. They scored nine runs in the game, yet none of them actually came from a home run! For the Astros, we will be seeing Garcia on the mound to start. In Game Three of the World Series he gave up one run on three hits, and he also had four walks, this was over just 3.2 innings before he was pulled. He did strike out six batters, but he had issues with his control, and was pulled quickly. He has struggled throughout the postseason, and has had just one start that lasted longer than 3.2 innings in his four postseason starts. However, overall this season, he has been performing well, with a record of 11-8 and an ERA of 3.48.

The Astros experience really showed itself in Game Five, while it also shined a light on the Braves inexperience. Both starting pitchers have struggled in their last game, and with the series back in Houston, I’m not too convinced on which team will win. The thing I am more confident on is the over. Three out of the five games so far in this World Series have gone over, and two out of two have gone over in Houston. I’m liking the look of both offenses smacking Fried and Garcia (and then the bullpen) all around the park. Take the over.

Katherine’s MLB Pick: Over 8.5 (-118)
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Mike Su

The Astros were able to save themselves from elimination and stay in the running for the World Series, at least for 1 more game. Despite a monstrous 1st inning by the Braves, where they scored 4 runs, the Astros were able to maintain their composure to end up winning 9-5. The Astros batting unit looked great as they were able to consistently put runs on the board throughout the entire game. This is a good change for a batting unit that has been inconsistent throughout this series. 

The Braves on the other hand, will need to get out of their batting rut which saw them go scoreless in the final 6 innings. If they continue this type of performance they may very well surrender a 3-1 lead and lose the World Series. The Astros will be looking to continue this good batting as well as hold back the Braves in Game 6.

In this game, the Astros will be leaning on Luis Garcia to equalize the series. Garcia has been good this season with a 3.3 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 167 strikeouts. However, Garcia hasn’t played well in the playoffs as he sports a 7.62 ERA during the playoffs. This includes a woeful performance where he had allowed 5 runs in just 1 inning against the Red Sox. The Astros will need Garcia to bring out his best for them to stand a chance.

The Braves will be countering with Max Fried to try and win the World Series. Fried was great in the regular season with a 3.04 ERA and 1.09 WHIP but hasn’t been that good in the playoffs with a 5.4 ERA. Fried was especially bad in his last game against the Astros where he surrendered 6 runs in 5 innings leading to a 7-2 Astros win. If the Braves want to win they’ll need Fried to bring it. 

I think the Braves should win this game as they have been the much better team throughout the playoffs. Despite an ascending Astros batting unit, I think Fried bounces back and the Braves win the series in 6 games.

Mike’s MLB Pick: Atlanta Braves (+100)
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*Odds and spreads correct at time of publication, courtesy of FanDuel.

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