Free MLB Picks Today: Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies 10/1/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies 10/1/22
Sat 1st October 2022

The Washington Nationals (+100) host the Philadelphia Phillies (-120) at Nationals Park on Saturday in a doubleheader. The early total was set at 8 runs. The teams split Friday’s series-opening doubleheader. After the Nationals took the first game 2-0, the Phillies (84-72) bounced back with a 5-1 win in the nightcap, their ninth straight head-to-head victory, and 14th in 16 games this season. Bailey Falter threw six scoreless innings – striking out six – for the win. Rhys Hoskins was 2 for 5 with a home run and two RBIs in the win. Alex Call went 1 for 3 with one run for the Nationals (54-102).

ON THE MOUND

Kyle Gibson (10-7, 4.84 ERA) is set to take the mound for Philadelphia in the first game of the doubleheader. The RHP allowed five runs over five innings in his last start, an 8-7 road defeat against the Braves on Sunday. He scattered seven hits while striking out nine and walking two in the no-decision. Gibson has made one previous start against the Nationals this season, a 7-2 home victory on August 5. He surrendered one run on two hits over eight innings, striking out four and walking one. Right-hander Anibal Sanchez (3-6, 4.06 ERA) will toe the rubber for Washington. He has made one prior start against the Phillies this season, giving up one runs over two innings in a 7-5 road defeat on September 11. He gave up two hits and walked three in the no-decision.In his last start on Sunday, Sanchez got the win on the road against the Marlins. He threw five scoreless innings and gave up two hits, striking out four and walking two in the 6-1 victory.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Philadelphia has averaged only 3.0 runs a game, down from their season average of 4.6, while performing worse across the board (.244/.304/.335). Against right-handed pitchers like Sanchez this season, the Phils have a .726 OPS. Kyle Schwarber is the team’s most productive hitter against right-handers with a .849 OPS in 370 at-bats. Washington is averaging only 2.4 runs per game in the last five, down from 3.7 for the season, with their slash line dropping across the board (.223/.271/.301). The Nats have a .695 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .792 OPS over 333 at-bats, Luke Voit has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Philadelphia is 37-38 on the road in 2022, scoring 4.3 runs per game while allowing 4.3 runs. Washington has gone 25-53 at home this season, averaging 3.6 runs per game while surrendering 5.3. In the last 10 meetings at Nationals Park, Philadelphia is 9-1 with an average scoreline of 6.6-4.4.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Phillies are third in the NL East, 13 games behind the division-leading Mets. They currently occupy one of the Wild Card spots, sitting third with a magic number of zero. The Nationals are fifth in the NL East, 43 games behind the Mets.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Philadelphia Phillies (-185)

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