Free MLB Picks Today: Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves 9/28/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves 9/28/22
Wed 28th September 2022

The Atlanta Braves (97-58) are on the road to face the Washington Nationals (53-101) at Nationals Park on Wednesday with the visitors looking for a sweep of the three-game series. The Braves lead the series 2-0 after winning 8-2 on Tuesday, their 14th head-to-head victory in 18 games this season. Collin McHugh got the win with 1.1 scoreless innings out of the bullpen. Ronald Acuna Jr. was 2 for 5 with two solo home runs in the win. Luke Voit went 2 for 4 with two doubles and one RBI for the Nationals. Victor Robles added a solo home run.

ON THE MOUND

Jake Odorizzi (5-6, 4.61 ERA) is slated to start for Atlanta. The right-hander allowed eight runs over four innings in his last start, a 9-1 road defeat against the Phillies on Friday. He took the loss, yielding 10 hits while striking out six and walking three. RHP Josiah Gray (7-10, 5.17 ERA) gets the ball for Washington. He has made one prior start against the Braves this season, holding opposing hitters scoreless over five innings in a 3-1 road win on April 13. He gave up one hit and walked three, while striking out five in the win.In his last start on Friday, Gray took the loss on the road against the Marlins. He threw six innings and gave up four runs on eight hits, striking out three and walking one in the 5-2 defeat.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Atlanta has averaged 6.2 runs a game, up from their season average of 4.9, while slashing better across the board (.260/.323/.470). Against right-handed pitchers like Gray this season, the Braves have a .752 OPS, fourth highest in the league. Acuna Jr. has been the team’s biggest on-base threat against right-handers with a .358 OBP in 450 at-bats. Washington is averaging only 2.2 runs per game in the last five, down from 3.8 for the season, with their slash line falling across the board (.217/.235/.337). The Nats have a .697 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .801 OPS over 327 at-bats, Voit has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Atlanta is on a four-game winning streak away from Truist Park, bringing their record to 45-32 in 2022. The Braves have scored 4.9 runs per game away from home, while allowing 4.0 runs. Washington has lost three in a row at Nationals Park. The Nats are 24-52 at home this season, averaging 3.6 runs per game while surrendering 5.3. Atlanta is 9-1 in the last 10 games between the NL East rivals at Nationals Park with an average scoreline of 7.1-3.6.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Braves lead the NL East by zero games over the Braves. Their magic number to clinch the division is eight. The Nationals are fifth in the NL East, 43 games behind the Mets.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Atlanta Braves (-250)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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