The Mariners lead the series 2-1 after sweeping Tuesday’s doubleheader. After taking the opening game 7-6, Seattle followed up with a 9-6 win in game two, their fifth head-to-head victory in six games this season. Justus Sheffield went five innings, allowing five runs on seven hits, to get the win, and Diego Castillo earned his seventh save with a scoreless ninth. Cal Raleigh went 3 for 5 with a solo home run in the win. Dylan Moore added one run and three RBIs on one hit and a walk. Spencer Torkelson was 3 for 5 with a home run and two runs for the Tigers.
ON THE MOUND
Tyler Alexander (4-11, 4.72 ERA) is in line to get the start for Detroit. The lefty allowed three runs over five innings in his last start, a 7-0 home defeat against the Twins on Friday. He was charged with the loss, giving up five hits while striking out six and walking four. Alexander has made one previous start against the Mariners this season, a 5-3 home loss on August 31. He surrendered two runs on four hits over 4.2 innings, striking out four and walking one. For Seattle, southpaw Marco Gonzales (10-15, 4.05 ERA) takes the mound. He has made one prior start against the Tigers this season, giving up three runs over six innings in a 5-3 road win on August 31. He gave up seven hits and walked one, while striking out one in the win. In his last start on Thursday, Gonzales took a no-decision at home against the Rangers. He threw five innings and gave up four runs on six hits, striking out four and walking one in the 10-9 victory.
AT THE PLATE
Over the last five games, Detroit has averaged 4.8 runs a game, up from their season average of 3.4, due in part to increased slugging (.393 vs .346). Against southpaws like Gonzales this season, the Tigers have a .703 OPS. Javier Baez is the team’s most productive hitter against left-handers with a .838 OPS in 133 at-bats. Seattle is averaging 5.4 runs per game in the last five, up from 4.3 for the season, with a higher on-base percentage (.333 vs .315). The M’s have a .706 OPS against left-handers in 2022. With a .911 OPS over 130 at-bats, Eugenio Suarez has been their best hitter against left-handers.
HOME AND AWAY
Detroit is 31-49 in road games in 2022, scoring 3.4 runs per game while allowing 4.4 runs. Seattle has gone 45-35 at home this season, averaging 3.9 runs per game while surrendering 3.7. In the last 10 games at T-Mobile Park between the teams, Seattle is 6-4 with an average scoreline of 4.6-3.8.
STANDINGS UPDATE
The Tigers are fourth in the AL Central, 25 games behind the division-leading Guardians. The Mariners are second in the AL West, 16 games behind the Astros. They currently occupy one of the Wild Card spots, sitting second with a magic number of zero.
SportsTips’ MLB Pick:
Seattle Mariners
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.
