Free MLB Picks Today: San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins 5/21/23

Free MLB Picks Today: San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins 5/21/23
Sun 21st May 2023

The Miami Marlins (24-22) are on the road to face the San Francisco Giants (21-24) at Oracle Park on Sunday with the three-game series in the balance.

The Marlins evened up the series 1-1 after winning 1-0 on Saturday, their third head-to-head victory in five games this season. JT Chargois got the win with 0.2 scoreless innings of relief, and Dylan Floro threw 1.1 scoreless innings to earn his fifth save. Jon Berti was 1 for 4 with one RBI in the win. Patrick Bailey went 1 for 3 for the Giants.

ON THE MOUND

Jesus Luzardo (3-2, 3.38 ERA) is slated to take the mound for Miami. The left-hander allowed one run over six innings in his last start, a 5-4 home win over the Nationals on Tuesday. He scattered five hits while striking out seven and walking one in the no-decision.

Luzardo has made one previous start against the Giants this season, a 4-3 home victory on April 17. He surrendered three runs on six hits over 4.1 innings, striking out six and walking two. For San Francisco, southpaw Alex Wood (0-0, 2.45 ERA) gets the ball.

He has made one prior start against the Marlins this season, giving up one run over 2.1 innings in a 4-2 road defeat on April 18. He gave up one hit and walked one, while striking out three in the no-decision.

In his last start on Monday, Wood took a no-decision at home against the Phillies. He threw 4.2 innings and gave up two runs on four hits, striking out four and walking one in the 6-3 win.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Miami has averaged 3.6 runs a game, a small gain compared to their season average of 3.5. Against southpaws like Wood this season, the Fish have a .777 OPS. Jorge Soler is the team’s most productive hitter against left-handers with a 1.520 OPS in 30 at-bats.

San Francisco is averaging only 4.2 runs per game in the last five, down slightly from 4.3 for the season. The Giants have a .671 OPS against left-handers in 2023, fifth lowest in MLB. With a .918 OPS over 53 at-bats, Wilmer Flores has been their best hitter against left-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Miami is 10-11 away from loanDepot park in 2023, scoring 3.7 runs per game while allowing 4.9 runs. San Francisco has gone 14-11 in front of their home fans this season, averaging 3.9 runs per game while surrendering 4.4. San Francisco is 7-3 in the last 10 games between the teams at Oracle Park with an average scoreline of 3.0-2.5.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Marlins are second in the NL East, five games behind the division-leading Braves. The Giants are third in the NL West, seven games behind the Dodgers.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

SF Giants (-135)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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