Free MLB Picks Today: San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants 10/3/22

Free MLB Picks Today: San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants 10/3/22
Mon 3rd October 2022

The San Francisco Giants (80-79) are on the road to face the San Diego Padres (87-72) at Petco Park on Monday to open a three-game series. The Giants are heading on the road after a productive six-game homestand (5-1). They won two out of three in their last series against the Diamondbacks, taking the finale 4-3 on Sunday at Oracle Park. Austin Slater was 1 for 2 with a solo home run. David Villar added two RBIs on two hits. The Padres are kicking off the final series of their nine-game homestand. They lost two of three against the White Sox in their last series, dropping the finale 2-1 on Sunday at Petco Park. Ha-Seong Kim went 2 for 4 with a solo home run.


The Padres have won 11 of 16 in the season series between the NL West rivals, including a 5-4 victory in their most recent meeting on August 31 at Oracle Park. Joe Musgrove got the win, allowing three runs on three hits over 6.2 innings and striking out 11, and Josh Hader picked up his 30th save with a scoreless ninth.


For San Diego, right-hander Musgrove (10-7, 3.12 ERA) will toe the rubber. He has made four appearances against the Giants this season, all starts, giving up four runs over 27.2 innings (2-0, 1.30) with 25 strikeouts and nine walks. In his last start on Wednesday, Musgrove took a no-decision at home against the Dodgers. He threw five scoreless innings and gave up four hits, striking out eight and walking four in the 1-0 loss.


The San Francisco offense is averaging 4.4 runs per game for the season, with a slash line of .235/.315/.392. Thairo Estrada leads the team in OPS at .732. The shortstop is slashing .264/.324/.408 with 14 home runs, 62 RBIs, and 70 runs over 138 games. Over the last five games, though, San Francisco has averaged 6.0 runs a game while slashing better across the board (.273/.354/.478). Against righties like Musgrove this season, the Giants have a .698 OPS. Mike Yastrzemski is the team’s strongest performer against right-handers with a .738 OPS in 351 at-bats. San Diego is slashing .241/.318/.382 for the season and averaging 4.3 runs per game. Manny Machado leads the team with ann .899 OPS. The third baseman has 32 home runs, 101 RBIs, and 99 runs scored with a slash line of .296/.367/.533. San Diego is averaging only 1.8 runs per game in the last five with their slugging percentage slipping to .341.


San Francisco is 36-42 in road games in 2022, scoring 4.3 runs per game while allowing 4.5 runs. San Diego has gone 42-36 at their home ballpark this season, averaging 3.7 runs per game while surrendering 3.7. The teams have split their last 10 games at Petco Park, though San Francisco has the scoring advantage with an average final margin of 5.1-4.7.


The Giants are third in the NL West, 31 games behind the division-leading Dodgers. They are fifth in the Wild Card race, six games out of third. The Padres are second in the NL West, 23 games behind the Dodgers. They currently occupy one of the Wild Card spots, sitting second with a magic number of three.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

SD Padres (-225)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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