Bryce Harper will be looking to extend his 15-game on-base streak as the Philadelphia Phillies (-180) host the San Diego Padres (+150) at Citizens Bank Park on Friday in Game 3 of the National League Championship Series with both teams looking to take the series lead. The early total has been set at 7.5 runs with the under a -115 favorite. The Padres evened up the series 1-1 after winning 8-5 on Wednesday, their fourth head-to-head victory in nine games this season. Starter Blake Snell went five innings, allowing four runs on five hits and striking out six, to get the win, and Josh Hader struck out the side in the ninth for his 40th save. Manny Machado was 3 for 5 with a solo home run and a double in the win. Josh Bell went 3 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs. Harper went 2 for 4 with a double and one run for the Phillies.
ON THE MOUND
Joe Musgrove (10-7, 2.93 ERA) is set to start for San Diego. The righty allowed two runs over six innings in his last start, a 5-3 road win over the Dodgers on Saturday. He gave up six hits while striking out eight and walking three in the no-decision. Musgrove has made one previous start against the Phillies this season, a 6-2 home loss on June 23. He surrendered six runs on seven hits over six innings, striking out one and walking one. For Philadelphia, southpaw Ranger Suarez (10-7, 3.65 ERA) takes the mound. He has made one prior start against the Padres this season, giving up two runs over 7.1 innings in a 6-2 road win on June 23. He gave up seven hits and walked two, while striking out three in the win. In his last start on October 11, Suarez took a no-decision on the road against the Braves. He threw 3.1 innings and gave up one run on three hits, striking out five and walking five in the 7-6 victory.
AT THE PLATE
Over the last five games, San Diego has averaged 4.0 runs a game, a small drop compared to their season average of 4.4. Against southpaws like Suarez this season, the Padres have a .705 OPS. Brandon Drury is the team’s best performer against left-handers with a .955 OPS in 147 at-bats. Philadelphia is averaging 4.8 runs per game in the last five, up slightly from 4.6 for the season. The Phils have a .727 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .900 OPS over 380 at-bats, Kyle Schwarber has been their best hitter against right-handers.
HOME AND AWAY
San Diego is 48-38 in away games in 2022, scoring 5.0 runs per game while allowing 4.4 runs. Philadelphia has gone 49-34 at home this season, averaging 5.0 runs per game while surrendering 4.1. The teams have split their last 10 meetings at Citizens Bank Park, though San Diego has the scoring advantage with an average final margin of 3.3-3.0.
The Padres finished second in the NL West with a record of 89-73. The Phillies were third in the NL East (87-75).
SportsTips’ MLB Pick:
Philadelphia Phillies (-110)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.