Free MLB Picks Today: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins 9/7/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins 9/7/22
Wed 7th September 2022

The Miami Marlins (-140) are on the road to face the Philadelphia Phillies (+120) at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday. The early total was set at 8 with the under a -120 favorite. The Phillies (74-61) took Tuesday’s series opener 3-2, their ninth head-to-head victory in 14 games this season. Reliever David Robertson was credited with the win after throwing one scoreless inning. Edmundo Sosa went 2 for 2 with a home run and a double in the win over the Marlins (55-79). He scored two runs.


Trevor Rogers (4-10, 5.85 ERA) is in line to get the start for Miami. The left-hander allowed one run over six innings in his last start, a 2-1 road defeat against the Rays on August 31. He scattered five hits while striking out five and walking one in the no-decision. Over three previous starts against the Phillies this season, Rogers has allowed 15 earned runs over 11.1 innings (0-2, 11.91). He has struck out nine and walked 10.For Philadelphia, left-hander Bailey Falter (3-3, 4.41 ERA) will toe the rubber. He has made one prior appearance against the Marlins this season, giving up one runs over two innings in a 10-3 road win on April 16. He gave up two hits and walked one in the no-decision. In his last start on August 31, Falter got the win on the road against the Diamondbacks. He threw 6.1 innings and gave up one run on five hits, striking out six, in the 18-2 triumph.


Over the last five games, Miami has averaged only 1.2 runs a game, down from their season average of 3.5, while slashing worse across the board (.157/.237/.209). Against lefties like Falter this season, the Fish have a .574 OPS, lowest in MLB. Miguel Rojas is the team’s most productive hitter against left-handers with a .507 OPS in 106 at-bats. Philadelphia is averaging 5.8 runs per game in the last five, up from 4.7 for the season, with an improved slash line (.311/.374/.456). The Phils have a .775 OPS against left-handers in 2022, fifth highest in the league. With a .997 OPS over 125 at-bats, Rhys Hoskins has been their best hitter against left-handers.


Miami is on a five-game losing streak on the road, bringing their record to 29-41 in 2022. The Fish have scored 3.6 runs per game away from home, while allowing 4.2 runs. Philadelphia has gone 40-30 in front of their home fans this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game while surrendering 4.0. In the last 10 games at Citizens Bank Park between the NL East rivals, Philadelphia is 7-3 with an average scoreline of 3.7-3.6.


The Marlins are fourth in the NL East, 29 games behind the division-leading Mets. The Phillies are third in the NL East, 10 games behind the Mets. They currently occupy one of the Wild Card spots, sitting second.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Philadelphia Phillies (-185)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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