Aaron Judge will be looking to extend his 22-game on-base streak as the New York Yankees (+120) host the Boston Red Sox (-140) at Yankee Stadium on Saturday. The early total was set at 8.5 runs with the over a -115 favorite. The Yankees (92-58) lead the series 2-0 after winning 5-4 on Friday, their fourth straight head-to-head victory and 11th in 17 games this season. Reliever Jonathan Loaisiga was credited with the win after throwing two scoreless innings. Aaron Hicks went 2 for 3 with a home run, two runs, and two RBIs in the win. Alex Verdugo was 2 for 4 with a home run and a double for the Red Sox (72-78). He drove in three runs.
ON THE MOUND
Nick Pivetta (10-11, 4.35 ERA) is set to start for Boston. The RHP allowed three runs over five innings in his last start, a 13-3 road win over the Royals on Sunday. He earned the win, yielding seven hits while striking out seven and walking two. Over four previous starts against the Yankees this season, Pivetta has allowed 20 earned runs over 18.2 innings (0-2, 9.64). He has struck out 18 and walked 10.For New York, right-hander Domingo German (2-3, 3.12 ERA) takes the mound. He has made one prior start against the Red Sox this season, giving up one runs over six innings in a 3-2 road defeat on August 12. He gave up five hits and walked two, while striking out four in the no-decision. In his last appearance on September 16, German pitched in relief on the road against the Brewers. He threw 1.2 scoreless innings and gave up one hit, striking out two and walking one in the 7-6 defeat.
AT THE PLATE
Over the last five games, Boston has averaged 5.4 runs a game, a small gain compared to their season average of 4.5. Against right-handed pitchers like German this season, the Sox have a .720 OPS. Rafael Devers is the team’s most potent producer against right-handers with a .922 OPS in 379 at-bats. New York is averaging 9.0 runs per game in the last five, up from 5.1 for the season, with a better slash line (.307/.390/.580). The Yanks have a .746 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a 1.164 OPS over 410 at-bats, Judge has been their best hitter against right-handers.
HOME AND AWAY
Boston is on a three-game losing streak in road games, bringing their record to 35-41 in 2022. The Sox have scored 4.4 runs per game away from home, while allowing 4.5 runs. New York has won six in a row at home. The Yanks are 54-22 at home this season, averaging 5.3 runs per game while surrendering 3.4. In the last 10 games between the bitter rivals at Yankee Stadium, New York is 8-2 with an average scoreline of 6.1-2.9.
STANDINGS UPDATE
The Yankees lead the AL East by eight games over the Rays. Their magic number in the division is four. The Red Sox are fifth in the AL East, 20 games behind the Yankees.
SportsTips’ MLB Pick:
New York Yankees (-165)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.
