Free MLB Picks Today: Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox 9/28/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox 9/28/22
Wed 28th September 2022

The Minnesota Twins (-180) host the Chicago White Sox (+150) at Target Field on Wednesday. The early total has been set at 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120). The Twins (75-79) took Tuesday’s series opener 4-0, their eighth head-to-head victory in 14 games this season. Starter Bailey Ober threw 7.1 scoreless innings- striking out 10 – to get the win. Jose Miranda went 3 for 4 with a double, one run, and one RBI in the win. Yoan Moncada was 1 for 3 with a double for the White Sox (76-78).

ON THE MOUND

Johnny Cueto (7-9, 3.15 ERA) is set for the start for Chicago. The righty allowed four runs (three earned) over six innings in his last start, a 4-2 road defeat against the Guardians on Thursday. He was charged with the loss, scattering eight hits while striking out three and walking one. Over two previous starts against the Twins this season, Cueto has allowed only three earned runs over 12 innings (1-0, 2.25). He has struck out eight and walked seven. Righty Josh Winder (4-5, 4.20 ERA) takes the mound for Minnesota. He has made two appearances against the White Sox this season, including one start, giving up three runs over nine innings (1-0, 3.00) with five strikeouts and two walks. In his last start on Thursday, Winder took the loss on the road against the Royals. He threw six innings and gave up three runs on six hits, striking out four and walking one in the 4-1 defeat.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Chicago has averaged only 1.6 runs a game, down from their season average of 4.3, while slashing worse across the board (.177/.226/.304). Against righties like Winder this season, the Sox have a .684 OPS. Jose Abreu is the team’s most productive hitter against right-handers with a .824 OPS in 463 at-bats. Minnesota is averaging only 3.6 runs per game in the last five, down slightly from 4.3 for the season. The Twins have a .723 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .813 OPS over 416 at-bats, Luis Arraez has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Chicago is 41-35 away from home in 2022, scoring 4.5 runs per game while allowing 3.7 runs. Minnesota has gone 45-34 at home this season, averaging 4.2 runs per game while surrendering 3.9. In the last 10 meetings at Target Field, Minnesota is 7-3 despite an average scoreline favoring Chicago (4.2-3.6).

STANDINGS UPDATE

The White Sox are second in the AL Central, 10 games behind the division-leading Guardians. They are fifth in the Wild Card race, seven games out of third. The Twins are third in the AL Central, 11 games behind the Guardians. They are sixth in the Wild Card race, eight games out of a postseason position.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Chicago White Sox (-115)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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