Free MLB Picks Today: Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals 9/28/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals 9/28/22
Wed 28th September 2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (+150) host the St. Louis Cardinals (-180) at American Family Field on Wednesday with the visitors in position for a sweep of the two-game series. The early total has been set at 7 runs with the over a -120 favorite. The Cardinals (90-65) took Tuesday’s series opener 6-2, their 10th head-to-head victory in 18 games this season. Starter Miles Mikolas went six innings to get the win, allowing one run on four hits and striking out nine. Dylan Carlson was 2 for 4 with two doubles and two runs in the win. Brendan Donovan added a double and one run. Garrett Mitchell went 2 for 3 with a double and one RBI for the Brewers (82-72).


Jose Quintana (6-6, 3.16 ERA) is slated to get the start for St. Louis. The southpaw threw 6.2 scoreless innings in his last start, an 11-0 road win over the Dodgers on Friday. He earned the win, yielding five hits while striking out six. Over two previous starts against the Brewers this season, Quintana has allowed five earned runs over 9.1 innings (0-0, 4.82). He has struck out 13 and walked two. RHP Brandon Woodruff (12-4, 3.18 ERA) will toe the rubber for Milwaukee. He has made two appearances against the Cardinals this season, both starts, giving up two runs over nine innings (1-1, 2.00) with six strikeouts and two walks. In his last start on Thursday, Woodruff got the win on the road against the Reds. He threw six innings and gave up one run on three hits, striking out 11 and walking two in the 5-1 triumph.


Over the last five games, St. Louis has averaged 5.0 runs a game, a small gain compared to their season average of 4.8. Against righties like Woodruff this season, the Cards have a .729 OPS. Paul Goldschmidt is the team’s strongest hitter against right-handers with a .903 OPS in 432 at-bats. Milwaukee is averaging only 4.6 runs per game in the last five, consistent with their season average. The Brew Crew have a .664 OPS against southpaws in 2022. With a .797 OPS over 110 at-bats, Hunter Renfroe has been their best hitter against left-handers.


St. Louis is 39-38 away from home in 2022, scoring 4.8 runs per game while allowing 4.3 runs. Milwaukee has gone 42-31 at American Family Field this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game while surrendering 4.1. St. Louis is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings at American Family Field with an average scoreline of 4.7-3.4.


The Cardinals lead the NL Central by seven games over the Brewers. Their magic number to clinch the division is one. The Brewers are fourth in the Wild Card race, four games out of a postseason position.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Milwaukee Brewers (-160)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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