The Miami Marlins (66-92) are on the road to face the Milwaukee Brewers (84-74) at American Family Field on Sunday with the home team looking to split the four-game series. The Marlins lead the series 2-1 after winning 4-3 on Saturday, their third head-to-head victory in six games this season. Peyton Burdick was 1 for 3 with a home run and two RBIs in the win. Hunter Renfroe went 3 for 4 with one run for the Brewers. Luis Urias added one RBI on one hit and a walk.
ON THE MOUND
Pablo Lopez (10-10, 3.88 ERA) is in line for the start for Miami. The RHP allowed three runs over six innings in his last start, a 6-4 home win over the Mets on Tuesday. He was credited with the win, yielding five hits while striking out five. Lopez has made one previous start against the Brewers this season, a 2-1 home loss on May 13. He surrendered one run on three hits over seven innings, striking out 11.Righty Freddy Peralta (4-4, 3.36 ERA) gets the start for Milwaukee. His only prior appearance against the Marlins this season was his last outing, when Peralta gave up four runs over 1.2 innings in a 4-2 home defeat on Thursday. He gave up three hits and walked one, while striking out three in the loss.
AT THE PLATE
Over the last five games, Miami has averaged 3.6 runs a game, equal to their season average. Against right-handed pitchers like Peralta this season, the Fish have a .673 OPS, fifth lowest in MLB. Miguel Rojas is the team’s best hitter against right-handers with a .619 OPS in 347 at-bats. Milwaukee is averaging only 2.6 runs per game in the last five, down from 4.5 for the season, with their slash line slipping across the board (.226/.297/.340). The Brew Crew have a .745 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .365 OBP over 344 at-bats, Christian Yelich has their highest on-base percentage against right-handers.
HOME AND AWAY
Miami is 34-46 in road games in 2022, scoring 3.6 runs per game while allowing 4.1 runs. Milwaukee has gone 44-33 in front of their home fans this season, averaging 4.5 runs per game while surrendering 4.0. Miami is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings at American Family Field with an average scoreline of 5.3-2.5.
STANDINGS UPDATE
The Marlins are fourth in the NL East, 33 games behind the division-leading Braves. The Brewers are second in the NL Central, eight games behind the Cardinals. They are fourth in the Wild Card race, one games out of a postseason position.
SportsTips’ MLB Pick:
Milwaukee Brewers
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.
