Free MLB Picks Today: Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks 10/4/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks 10/4/22
Tue 4th October 2022

Zac Gallen, one of this season’s toughest pitchers, leads the Arizona Diamondbacks (+150) into American Family Field on Tuesday as they take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-180). The early total was set at 7 runs with the under a -115 favorite. The Brewers (85-75) took Monday’s series opener 6-5 in 10 innings, their second head-to-head victory in five games this season. Brad Boxberger got the win with one inning out of the bullpen. Christian Yelich went 2 for 4 with a home run and two runs in the win. Cooper Hummel was 2 for 4 with a home run and two runs for the Diamondbacks (73-87).

ON THE MOUND

Gallen (12-3, 2.46 ERA) is slated to take the mound for Arizona. The RHP ranks third in the NL in ERA. Gallen allowed two runs over seven innings in his last start, a 5-2 home win over the Astros on Wednesday. He gave up six hits while striking out six and walking one in the no-decision. Gallen has made one previous start against the Brewers this season, a 5-1 home victory on September 4. He allowed two hits over seven scoreless innings, striking out seven and walking one. Southpaw Eric Lauer (10-7, 3.96 ERA) is on the mound for Milwaukee. He has made one prior start against the Diamondbacks this season, giving up two runs over 6.2 innings in a 2-1 road defeat on September 2. He gave up six hits while striking out five in the loss. In his last start on Thursday, Lauer took a no-decision at home against the Marlins. He threw five scoreless innings and gave up one hit, striking out nine, in the 4-2 loss.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Arizona has averaged 5.0 runs a game, a small gain compared to their season average of 4.4. Against left-handed pitchers like Lauer this season, the D-backs have a .659 OPS, fifth lowest in MLB. Christian Walker is the team’s strongest performer against left-handers with a .845 OPS in 135 at-bats. Milwaukee is averaging only 3.0 runs per game in the last five, down from 4.5 for the season, with their slash line dropping across the board (.216/.296/.329). The Brew Crew have a .743 OPS against righties in 2022. With a .846 OPS over 349 at-bats, Kolten Wong has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Arizona is 33-46 in road games in 2022, scoring 4.4 runs per game while allowing 4.7 runs. Milwaukee has gone 45-34 at their home park this season, averaging 4.5 runs per game while surrendering 4.0. Milwaukee is 9-1 in the last 10 games at American Family Field between the teams with an average scoreline of 4.9-2.3.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Diamondbacks are fourth in the NL West, 37 games behind the division-leading Dodgers. They are sixth in the Wild Card race, 14 games out of third. The Brewers are second in the NL Central, seven games behind the Cardinals. They are fourth in the Wild Card race, two games out of a postseason position.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Milwaukee Brewers (-105)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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