Free MLB Picks Today: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves 10/5/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves 10/5/22
Wed 5th October 2022

The Braves evened the series 1-1 after winning 2-1 on Tuesday, their 13th head-to-head victory in 18 games this season. Jake Odorizzi got the win, giving up one run on two hits over five innings and striking out seven, and Kenley Jansen picked up his 41st save with a scoreless ninth. Travis d’Arnaud was 2 for 4 with a double and one run in the win. Jesus Sanchez went 1 for 2 with a solo home run for the Marlins.

ON THE MOUND

For Miami, right-hander Elieser Hernandez (3-6, 6.33 ERA) will toe the rubber. He has made five appearances against the Braves this season, including three starts, giving up 12 runs over 15.2 innings (0-3, 6.89) with 15 strikeouts and one walk. In his last appearance on August 17, Hernandez came on in relief at home against the Padres. He threw one inning and gave up three runs on three hits, striking out one and walking two in the 10-3 defeat.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Atlanta has averaged only 3.2 runs a game, down from their season average of 4.8, while performing worse across the board (.232/.292/.413). Against right-handed pitchers like Hernandez this season, the Braves have a .752 OPS, fourth highest in MLB. Matt Olson is the team’s strongest performer against right-handers with a .823 OPS in 430 at-bats. Miami is averaging only 2.6 runs per game in the last five, down slightly from 3.6 for the season.

HOME AND AWAY

Atlanta is 46-34 on the road in 2022, scoring 4.8 runs per game while allowing 3.9 runs. Miami has gone 33-47 at loanDepot park this season, averaging 3.6 runs per game while surrendering 4.2. In the last 10 games between the NL East rivals at loanDepot park, Atlanta is 8-2 with an average scoreline of 4.3-3.2.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Braves lead the NL East by one games over the Mets. Their magic number to clinch the division is one. The Marlins are fourth in the NL East, 33 games behind the Braves.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Atlanta Braves

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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