Free MLB Picks Today: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves 10/4/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves 10/4/22
Tue 4th October 2022

The Atlanta Braves (100-60) are on the road to face the Miami Marlins (68-92) at loanDepot park on Tuesday. The Marlins took Monday’s series opener 4-0, their fifth head-to-head victory in 17 games this season. Jesus Luzardo threw six scoreless innings – striking out 12 – to get the win. Bryan De La Cruz went 3 for 4 with a home run and a double in the win. He scored two runs and drove in three. Jesus Sanchez also went 3 for 4 with two doubles and one RBI. Dansby Swanson was 2 for 4 with a double for the Braves.

ON THE MOUND

Jake Odorizzi (5-6, 4.53 ERA) is slated to start for Atlanta. The RHP allowed two runs (one earned) over 3.2 innings in his last start, a 3-2 road defeat against the Nationals on Wednesday. He scattered four hits and walked three in the no-decision. Odorizzi has made one previous start against the Marlins this season, a 4-3 road victory on August 12. He surrendered two runs on eight hits over four innings, striking out two and walking one. Southpaw Braxton Garrett (3-6, 3.52 ERA) will toe the rubber for Miami. He has made one prior start against the Braves this season, holding opposing hitters scoreless over six innings in a 3-1 home defeat on August 14. He gave up five hits and walked three, while striking out two in the no-decision. In his last start on Thursday, Garrett took a no-decision on the road against the Brewers. He threw four innings and gave up two runs on seven hits, striking out two, in the 4-2 win.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Atlanta has averaged only 3.2 runs a game, down from their season average of 4.9, while performing worse across the board (.214/.251/.409). Against lefties like Garrett this season, the Braves have a .775 OPS, second highest in the league. Robbie Grossman has the team’s best on-base percentage against left-handers at .444 over 147 at-bats. Miami is averaging only 3.2 runs per game in the last five, down slightly from 3.6 for the season. The Fish have a .673 OPS against righties in 2022. With a .620 OPS over 350 at-bats, Miguel Rojas has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Atlanta is 45-34 away from home in 2022, scoring 4.8 runs per game while allowing 4.0 runs. Miami has gone 33-46 in front of their home fans this season, averaging 3.6 runs per game while surrendering 4.3. Atlanta is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings at loanDepot park with an average scoreline of 4.3-3.1.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Braves lead the NL East by one games over the Mets. Their magic number to clinch the division is two. The Marlins are fourth in the NL East, 32 games behind the Braves.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Atlanta Braves

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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