We are almost at the halfway mark of the 2021 MLB season and our daily free MLB picks have never been hotter!
Look below to find our free MLB Picks for the five best games on today’s schedule!
Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles – 7.05PM ET
A pair of AL East rivals will kick off our Tuesday night MLB schedule when the last placed Baltimore Orioles host the third placed Blue Jays for the first match of their three game series.
The Blue Jays will be looking at this series as an opportunity to make up ground in the AL East, as they recently won two of their three games against the second placed Tampa Bay Rays. Toronto outscored Tampa 18-9 across the three games and they are now four games behind the Rays in their division.
As for Baltimore, they pulled off one of the upsets of the season last week, sweeping the Astros in Houston. Unfortunately, the Orioles soon snapped back to reality as they were swept by the Angels in Los Angeles on the weekend. The Orioles were outscored 13-18 across their three losses.
10-3 in our last 13 🔥
— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) July 3, 2021
Steve Matz will make 15th start of the season for Toronto on Tuesday. The southpaw has a 7-3 record, 4.60 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 78 strikeouts from 72.1 innings of action this year. Matz allowed four runs across just 2.2 innings in his return from the COVID-19 list in his last start.
The Orioles are yet to announce their starting pitcher for Tuesday’s matchup. Baltimore’s pitching staff owns the 30th ranked team ERA in the league (5.48), almost half a run more than the next worst team.
Although Toronto are on the road and Steve Matz is coming off a poor start following his bout with COVID-19, we are going to take the Blue Jays in this matchup. Toronto owns an impressive 24-19 record on the road this season and their lineup (which has scored 5.16 runs per game this year) will be coming up against Baltimore’s 30th ranked pitching staff (5.48 team) on a bullpen day.
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Miami Marlins – 7.10PM ET
The Dodgers and Marlins will continue their four game series in Miami on Tuesday night.
As a result of their 5-4 victory on Monday, the Marlins will take a 1-0 lead into game two of this series on Tuesday. Miami’s one run victory now gives them a 7-19 record in one run games this season. With the game tied 4-4 at the bottom of the eight, Jorge Alfaro hit a go-ahead homer to give Miami a winning lead.
Walker Buehler gave up four runs (three earned) with six strikeouts in five innings with the ball for Los Angeles.
Tony Gonsolin will look to tie this series up at 1-1 when he makes his fifth start (sixth appearance) for the Dodgers this season. The right hander has a 1-0 record in 2021, to go along with a 2.81 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 22 strikeouts from 16 innings with the ball. Gonsolin has allowed three earned runs across his last three starts, throwing 10.2 innings in that time.
Miami will send Pablo Lopez to the mound for his 18th start of the season. Lopez has a 4-5 record, 2.97 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 94 strikeouts from 91 innings of action this year. The right hander was ejected after tagging Ronald Acuna Jr. on the first pitch of the game in his last start. Acuna Jr. came around to score the game’s only run and Lopez was given the loss as a result.
Prior to getting tossed in his last start, Pablo Lopez had allowed just two runs over his previous 13 innings of work while striking out 16 batters in the process. Seeing as Lopez will be fresh and looking to bounce back, we are going to take the Marlins at home on Tuesday. Although Miami’s lineup has ultimately struggled throughout this season, they have scored 5+ runs in three of their last five games, including five runs against the Dodgers on Monday, and we like them to put up a winning score against the inexperienced Tony Gonsolin in this matchup.
Oakland Athletics @ Houston Astros – 8.10PM ET
The top two teams in the AL West will kick off their three game series in Houston on Tuesday night when the first placed Astros host the second placed A’s.
Although they were swept by the Orioles in their last series at home, Houston bounced back in their most recent set with a four game sweep of their own against the Indians in Cleveland. The Astros outscored the Indians 20-10 across their four recent victories.
As for Oakland, they recently wrapped up a six game homestand with a 1-2 series loss to Boston. The A’s were outscored 9-10 in the three game series and they are now three and a half games behind the Astros in the AL West.
Chris Bassitt AL ranks this season:
• 3.04 ERA (6th)
• 11 starts (t-3rd)
• 106 2/3 innings pitched (2nd)
• 9 wins (t-2nd)
• 1.03 WHIP (t-4th)
• .212 opp BA (7th)
• 109 Ks (t-7th)
• 11 quality starts (t-3rd)
• 2.7 WAR (t-7th)
He was not named an All Star this year. pic.twitter.com/hcybHgWpRx
— Danny Vietti (@DannyVietti) July 5, 2021
Chris Bassitt will make his 18th start of the season for Oakland on Tuesday. The right hander has a 9-2 record, 3.04 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 109 strikeouts from 106.2 innings with the ball this season. Bassitt was recently snubbed as an All-Star selection despite ranking third in the AL for starts, sixth for ERA, second for innings pitched, second for wins and seventh for quality starts.
Houston will counter with Framber Valdez at the mound on Tuesday. Valdez has a 5-1 record this year, as well as a 2.18 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 41 strikeouts from 45.1 innings of action. The southpaw has thrown 20 innings for just seven earned runs across his last three starts and he hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any start this season.
Other than their blemish against the Orioles last week, the Astros have arguably been the hottest team in baseball to start the summer. Houston’s 5.76 runs per game makes them the most prolific scoring lineup in the league and seeing as Bassitt has already struggled in his one start against Houston this season (three runs on four hits 5.1 innings), we are going to take the Astros at home. Especially when considering that Oakland has a negative run differential across their last three games, and they will be coming up against an in-form Framber Valdez.
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins – 8.10PM ET
A pair of AL Central rivals will continue their second series in less than two weeks when the White Sox and Twins meet for the second game of this set in Minnesota.
After being swept by the White Sox in Chicago last week, Minnesota drew first blood in their series at home on Monday, defeating the division leaders 8-5. Max Kepler set the tone for the day with a two run homer at the top of the second to give the Twins a 2-0 lead. Although the Twins built on Kepler’s early efforts to lead the game 6-1, Chicago pegged it back to a one run margin by the middle of the seventh. Kepler then clubbed his second homer of the night to once again give Minnesota a two run buffer.
Dylan Cease took the loss with the ball for Chicago, allowing six earned runs on six hits in 5.1 innings at the mound.
Carlos Rodon will look to tie this series up at 1-1 when he makes his 15th start of the year. The southpaw has a 6-3 record, 0.94 WHIP and 122 strikeouts from 83.2 innings of action this year. Rodon has conceded one earned run or fewer in all but four starts this season, however he has allowed seven in his past two outings.
The Twins will send Jose Berrios to the mound for his 17th start of the season. Berrios has a 7-2 record in 2021, to go along with a 3.52 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 96 strikeouts from 94.2 innings of work. The right-hander faced the White Sox in his last start, allowing four runs (three earned) on 10 hits in five innings last Thursday.
Although his performance last week was not the best indicator, Jose Berrios has more career wins against the White Sox than any other team, posting a 12-2 record and 2.77 ERA in 18 career starts. Seeing as Berrios is at the mound and the Twins are at home, we are going to take Minnesota to win this matchup against their division leaders. Carlos Rodon has struggled with the ball in his last two outings and we don’t believe that the White Sox lineup is capable of out-hitting the Twins with Berrios on the mound.
New York Yankees @ Seattle Mariners – 10.10PM ET
The Yankees and Mariners will close out our Tuesday night MLB schedule with the first match of their three game series in Seattle.
New York recently wrapped up a six game homestand with a 2-4 record. The Yankees lost two games to the Angels before dropping two games against the Mets in last weekends ‘Subway Series’ between the two crosstown rivals. The Mets outscored the Yankees 20-12 across the three games.
As for Seattle, they recently kicked off a nine game road trip with a 2-1 series victory against Texas. The Mariners and the Rangers scored 12 runs apiece across the three game set, as Seattle did not improve on their 22nd ranked run differential (-43) despite winning the series. Seattle are now 11-4 in their past 15 games.
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) July 5, 2021
Justus Sheffield will make his 15th start of the season for Seattle on Tuesday. The lefty has a 5-7 record, 5.88 ERA, 1.71 WHIP and 57 strikeouts from 72 innings in 2021. Tuesday will be Sheffield’s first start in July, as the southpaw owned a 7.83 ERA through five starts in June.
Jameson Taillon will make his 16th start of the season for the Yankees in this series opener. Taillon has a 3-4 record in 2021, to go along with a 5.43 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 73 strikeouts from 69.2 innings of action. The right hander has an 0-3 record, 11.12 ERA and 2.12 WHIP from five starts on the road this year.
Although Taillon has won his last two starts, the Yankees pitcher has conceded six earned runs on 14 hits in 11.2 innings in that time. Combined with the fact that Taillon owns a deplorable 0-3 record and 11.12 ERA from five starts on the road this season, we are going to have to take the Mariners in this matchup. Granted, Sheffield is coming off his worst month of the season in June, however he will get the opportunity to redeem himself in his first start in July when pitching to a Yankees lineup that currently ranks dead last in the American League for runs scored this season.
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