Our free MLB Picks are out for Saturday, August 7th, 2021! Make sure you check our MLB Picks before the action kicks off.
Look below to find our free MLB Picks for the five best games on today’s schedule!
Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs – 2.20PM ET
We start out Saturday picks with the Chicago Cubs hosting the Chicago White Sox at Wrigley Field in the second game of a three game series. The White Sox took the first (in a game that was taken to the 10th innings) and it sets up this clash to be massive for both sides.
While they needed a 10th innings, the White Sox came out on top in the opener and I like them to go on again. The Cubs have Adbert Alzolay starting on the mound and he hasn’t seen a win in over two months. Alzolay gave up four runs from five innings in his last start and he allowed at least three runs in 8 of his last 9 starts, which isn’t a good sign against a team that just scored eight runs on them last night. Meanwhile, Carlos Rodon is starting for the White Sox and while he has struggled of late, he has a 2.49 ERA for the season and should help his team get off to a good start.
Tim’s MLB Pick: Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-132)
Don’t mess with Liam Hendriks. pic.twitter.com/gjSNculh7y
— Chicago White Sox (@whitesox) August 7, 2021
The White Sox are 9.5 games clear of the second placed Indians in the AL Central. Whereas the Cubs are 14 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central, and they have only won two out of their last 10 games. The White Sox have won 50 out of their previous 72 games when they are the favorite, but just two of their previous seven games on a Saturday. Looking at the Cubs now, they have won 10 of their previous 35 games in total but also like the White Sox, they have won just two of their seven games on a Saturday. It was a narrow victory in the first clash, but I think the White Sox are a good enough team to get a convincing victory here on Saturday afternoon.
Katherine’s MLB Pick: Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-132)
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds – 7.10PM ET
An NL Central rivalry clash continues as the Cincinnati Reds host the Pittsburgh Pirates for the third of a four game series. While the Pirates are glued to the bottom of the division, the Reds have a wild card slot in their sights and need every win they can get.
Cincinnati have dominated the first two games of this series, winning both by a combined 17-4, including a massive 10-0 thumping last night. The Reds’ offense is humming at the moment and given Pittsburgh are giving Mitch Keller the ball, I think this could be ugly again. Keller is just 3-8 this season while sporting a 7.05 ERA, which is honestly disastrous, especially against an in-form batting lineup. Meanwhile the Reds have Vladimir Gutierrez starting and while his ERA is just 4.39 from his 12 starts, he has a 6-3 record and should do enough of a support role to the offense for the Reds to win this comfortably.
The Reds have put on a pretty dominant display in the first two games of this series, probably to everyone’s expectations, seeing though the Pirates are sitting at the bottom of the NL Central. Despite the Pirates being a constant figure at the bottom of the NL Central, they have actually won four of their previous five games on a Saturday, but they have won just 16 of their previous 57 when playing a team in the NL Central. Looking at the Reds, they have won seven of their previous nine when it comes to the third game of a series, and they have won 16 out of their previous 21 when they are the favorites at home. This should be another convincing display for the Reds on Saturday night.
Katherine’s MLB Pick: Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+100)
San Francisco Giants @ Milwaukee Brewers – 7.10PM ET
This clash between two division leaders continues tonight, as the Brewers look to take a second straight game and clinch this three game series. Can the Brewers make up some ground for top of the National League or will the Giants extend their lead in the league and in their division?
The Giants are scrambling for a starting pitcher after Anthony DeSclafani, who was scheduled to start, has been placed on the IL. Given last night’s game was so close, and low scoring, the pitching decision could be everything in this clash. With that in mind, Milwaukee has Brandon Woodruff with the ball first and he has been having quite a year. Woodruff’s record is just 7-6 but his ERA is a very low 2.26 across 21 starts this season and may give the home team a bit of a boost in this one. I like Milwaukee to win the third straight game, second straight of this series, and claim the massive clash between two division leaders.
Tim’s MLB Pick: Milwaukee Brewers (-147)
— Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) August 7, 2021
It was a low scoring affair in the first game, but that made it even more interesting, as the Brewers managed to scrape home 2-1, in the 10th innings. Coming into this Saturday night clash, both teams have won seven of their previous 10 games overall. Now, let’s go through some key stats! The Giants have managed to win 20 of their previous 27 games on the road when playing a right handed starter, but they have won just one of their previous six when it comes to the second game of a series. Looking at the Brewers now, they have one 38 of their previous 53 games on a Saturday, but just two of their previous seven when it comes to the second game of a series. I’m going to pick the Brewers for this clash, Woodruff is having a pretty decent run as of late, he has had a little bit of inconsistency in the clash with the Braves, but I think he will put on a stellar performance on Saturday.
Katherine’s MLB Pick: Milwaukee Brewers (-147)
Minnesota Twins @ Houston Astros – 7.10PM ET
Minnesota stole the series opener and last night saw the Twins win again in a nail biting 10th innings clash! Can the Astros’ explosive offense get them over the line in the third game of this four-game series or can the Twins continue to steal games that they have no business stealing?
Many expected, myself included, the Astros to return home and dominate this series against the lowly Twins but they may have been getting ahead of themselves. Two straight home losses and only managing to score seven runs across two games is very un-Houston-esque and I’m struggling to see if they will be able to turn things around. The Astros have Luis Garcia starting and he is 7-6 with a 3.49 ERA however he has been out of form lately, giving up 10 runs from his last 9.1 innings pitched. Meanwhile, the Twins have Michael Pineda on the mound and while he is 4-6 with an ERA of 3.89, he has turned things on recently, allowing just five runs from his last 15 innings. With that in mind, I expect Houston to show something more than they have but they can’t be trusted on their current form and I’m happy to take the security of the Minnesota run line.
What is happening in Houston at the moment?! They have lost both games to the bottom of the AL Central Twins, and will need to win the next two games if they want to salvage some pride and tie the series. Why don’t we take a look at some of the stats? The Twins have not won a single game out of their previous four when it comes to the third game of the series, they have also won just six of their previous 19 games on the road. Whereas, the Astros have won 16 of their previous 23 when it comes to the third game of a series and looking over their past 200 games at home, they have won 135 of them. The Astros have also won nine out of their previous 12 meetings with the Twins in Hostons. While the Twins have certainly been playing out of their skin, I’m just not sure they can keep it up for a third game in a row. But the price for the Astros is certainly too risky to take, considering their struggles, so I’ll be on the Twins to cover the spread.
Katherine’s MLB Pick: Minnesota Twins +1.5 (-122)
Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves – 7.20PM ET
An NL East rivalry clash between two middle of the road teams as the Braves host the Nationals for the second of a three game series. Given the Braves took the opener, tonight sets up to be a very intriguing clash.
Two teams heading in opposite directions right now. Following Atlanta’s 8-4 win last night, the Braves have won four straight while the Nationals have dropped five straight. This run of results may be surprising however I don’t think last night’s outcome is. The Nationals are just 20-31 on the road and are 25-46 against teams above 0.500, which the Braves are. Washington is handing the ball to new acquisition, Josiah Gray, first up and that has me worried given his 4.85 ERA and 0-0 record from three starts. That doesn’t bode well against an offense that is averaging 7.25 runs over their winning streak and has Charlie Morton starting. Morton has an impressive 10-4 record along with a 3.69 ERA and I think that is enough for the Braves to continue rolling on.
Tim’s MLB Pick: Atlanta Braves (-270)
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) August 7, 2021
Wow, is it tight in the NL East! The Braves are sitting in third place, but they are just one game behind the Phillies who are leading the way. Meanwhile the Nationals are sitting in fourth spot in the NL East, and they are eight games behind the Phillies. The Braves are on a hot streak at the moment and have won four games in a row, they have also won all four of their previous games on a Saturday. On the flip side, the Nationals have won just two of their previous nine when it comes to the second game of a series, and have won just three out of their previous 16 games on a Saturday. The Nationals have also won just two out of their previous nine games. With that being said, I’ll be on the Braves tonight.
Katherine’s MLB Pick: Atlanta Braves (-270)
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*Odds and spreads correct at time of publication, courtesy of FanDuel.