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Atlanta Braves @ Pittsburgh Pirates – 7.05PM ET
The Atlanta Braves and the Pittsburgh Pirates will kick off our Monday night MLB schedule with the first match of their three game series at PNC Park.
As a result of their 8-7 victory on Sunday, the Braves took a 2-1 series victory from their three game set against the Marlins at home. Atlanta outscored Miami 11-10 across the three victories and the Braves have now moved into second place in the NL East after a second consecutive series win against a division rival.
The Pirates recently avoided being swept in their four game series against the Brewers at home thanks to a 2-0 victory on Sunday. Milwaukee outscored Pittsburgh 25-8 across the four matches.
Marlins lose 8-7 in extra innings
Braves pitcher Max Fried pinch hits in the 10th and singles off Anthony Bass to walk it off for Atlanta
— Bally Sports Florida & Bally Sports Sun (@BallySportsFL) July 4, 2021
Chase De Jong will make his seventh start of the season for Pittsburgh during Monday’s series opener. De Jong has an 0-3 record, 5.65 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 26 strikeouts from 28.2 innings of action. Monday will be the right hander’s first start in July, as he recently recorded a 6.46 ERA from five starts in June.
Atlanta will send Max Fried to the mound for his 13th start of the season. The southpaw has a 5-4 record in 2021, to go along with a 4.16 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 62 strikeouts from 62.2 innings. Fried has a 2-1 record from 18 innings across his last three starts, allowing just six earned runs in that time.
Seeing as Chase De Jong will be pitching to a Braves lineup that has scored 5.4 runs per game across their past 10 matches, we are going to take Atlanta on road for Monday’s series opener. De Jong owns a 6.46 ERA from five starts in June, while Atlanta’s Max Fried has allowed just six earned runs in his last three outings and three runs or fewer in eight of his last nine starts.
Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets – 7.10PM ET
A pair of National League division leaders will kick off their three game series in New York on Monday when the NL East leading Mets host the NL Central leading Brewers.
Monday will be Milwaukee’s fifth match of a seven game road trip, as the Brewers recently took a 3-1 series victory from their four games against the Pirates in Pittsburgh over the weekend. Although they were shutout in Sunday’s loss, Milwaukee still outscored Pittsburgh 25-8 across the four matches, which has extended their lead on top of the NL Central to seven games.
Similarly, New York recently recorded a series victory on the road despite a loss in their series finale on Sunday. The Mets defeated the Yankees twice from their three games over the weekend, outscoring their cross town rivals 20-10 during this season’s first instalment of the ‘Subway Series’.
Tylor Megill will make his third career start for New York in Monday’s series opener. The rookie has not factored in a result this season, however he still owns a 4.82 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 12 strikeouts from just 9.1 career innings. Megill has allowed just five earned runs on eight hits in his two career starts.
Milwaukee will counter with Brandon Woodruff on Monday night. The ace has a 7-3 record from 16 starts (13 quality) this season, to go along with a 1.87 ERA (third best in MLB), 0.78 WHIP and 119 strikeouts from 101 innings of action. Woodruff has allowed two earned runs of fewer in all but two of his starts this year.
Seeing as the Mets will enter this series fresh off another double header on Sunday, we are going to take the fresher Milwaukee Brewers on the road on Monday. Tylor Megill hasn’t shown an ability to pitch deep in MLB games so far in his short career, while Brandon Woodruff has been incredible this season and owns the third best ERA (1.87) in the league. As well as that, the Brewers lineup has scored an impressive 7.6 runs per game through their last 10 games, where they have a 9-1 record, and they should be able to put up a winnable score against the Mets on Monday.
Philadelphia Phillies @ Chicago Cubs – 8.05PM ET
The Phillies and Cubs will commence their four game series in Chicago on Monday night at Wrigley Field.
Philadelphia recently wrapped up a five game homestand with a 3-2 record. The Phillies split their two game set against the Marlins before defeating the Padres twice from their three games across the weekend. Although they won the series, Philadelphia were outscored 9-16 in the three games.
As for the Cubs, they recently relinquished the No. 2 spot in the NL Central after being swept by the newly anointed No. 2 team in the division, the Cincinnati Reds. Cincinnati outscored Chicago 8-5 across their three victories. The Cubs will now be returning home after a nine game road trip that saw them finish with an 0-9 record.
— Chicago Cubs (@Cubs) July 4, 2021
Zach Davies will look to return Chicago to the winners list when he makes his 18th start of the season. The right hander has a 5-5 record, 4.32 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 55 strikeouts from 83.1 innings of action. Davies has thrown 10 innings in his last two starts, allowing two earned runs on two hits in that time.
Philadelphia will send Matt Moore to the mound for his fifth start (11th appearance) of the season. The southpaw has an 0-1 record in 2021, to go along with a 5.79 ERA, 1.67 WHIP and 19 strikeouts from 23.1 innings of work. Moore only pitched once in June, throwing five shutout innings against the Mets in his last start.
Although they are looking to snap a nine game losing streak, five of which came by just one run, we are going to take Chicago in this series opener on Monday. Especially when considering that the Cubs have an impressive 26-13 record at home this season and the Phillies have a 4-10 record from their past 14 games to go along with their poor 15-26 record on the road. As well as that, Chicago is 5-1 in their last six games that Zach Davies has started and he should give his side the advantage at the mound, as Matt Moore has only pitched once over the past month.
Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels – 9.38PM ET
The Red Sox and Angels will kick off their three game series in Los Angeles on Monday night.
Monday will be Boston’s fourth match of a six game road trip. The Red Sox recently took a 2-1 series victory from their three games against the A’s in Oakland, extending their lead over the Rays in the AL East to four and a half games. Boston outscored Oakland 10-9 across the three matches.
As for the Angles, they recently kicked off a six game homestand with a three game series sweep over the Orioles. Los Angeles outscored Baltimore 18-13 across their three victories, which has extended their active winning streak to four consecutive games.
Jose Suarez will make his first start (10th appearance) of the season for the Angels on Monday. The southpaw has a 3-1 record, 1.98 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 26 strikeouts from 27.1 innings of action. Suarez has thrown 9.1 innings across his last three starts, allowing just two earned runs on seven hits in that time.
Boston will give Martin Perez the ball for his 17th start of the year. Perez has a 6-4 record in 2021, to go along with a 4.04 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 62 strikeouts from 75.2 innings. The lefty has a 2-0 record from his last three starts, allowing three earned runs on 16 hits in 14 innings in that time.
Seeing as Boston have a 9-1 record from their past 10 games and a league leading 26-15 record on the road, we are going to take the Red Sox to win this series opener against the Angels in Los Angeles. Although Suarez has pitched well as a reliever this year, Perez has been in solid form recently (2-0 record for three runs allowed in his last three starts) and he will give Boston an advantage at the mound. As well as that, the Red Sox lineup has been scoring 6.2 runs per game in their past 10 matches.
Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres – 10.10PM ET
The Nationals and Padres will close out our Monday night MLB schedule when they meet for the opening match of their four game series in San Diego.
Washington will be looking to bounce back to their late June form after they recently kicked off July with four losses against Los Angeles. The Nationals were outscored 11-26 by the Dodgers over the weekend, as they were swept in four games on their home field.
As for the Padres, they recently brought an end to a six game road trip with a 3-3 record. San Diego won two of their three games against the Reds in Cincinnati before they were defeated twice by the Phillies in Philadelphia over the weekend. Although they lost the series, the Padres outscored the Phillies 16-9 across the three game set.
Davey Martinez says Kyle Schwarber has a ‘significant’ hamstring strain and will miss an extended time for Nats pic.twitter.com/bPkvbpWjvh
— Baseball Authority (@BsblAuthority) July 4, 2021
San Diego will send Joe Musgrove to the mound for his 15th start (16th appearance) of the season. The right hander has a 5-6 record in 2021, to go along with a 2.63 ERA, 0.88 WHIP and 106 strikeouts from 89 innings of action. Musgrove conceded five earned runs across four innings last time out, however he has allowed just six earned runs across his last three starts, throwing 17 innings in that time.
Jon Lester is expected to make his 13th start for Washington this season. The left hander has a 2-3 record, 5.34 ERA and 1.55 WHIP from 57.1 innings of action this year. Although he has conceded 14 runs across his last three starts, Lester has a 2-1 record from 13.1 innings of action in that time.
Even after dropping their last four consecutive games, Washington still boasts a 14-7 record from their last 21 outings. However, the Nationals will enter the series opener with Kyle Schwarber (hamstring) and Trea Turner (finger) either out or doubtful for Monday’s clash. Given Washington’s depleted lineup and the fact that Jon Lester has allowed 12 earned runs on 12 hits in his last two starts, we are going to take the Padres at home for this matchup. San Diego’s lineup is coming off an impressive 11 run performance on Sunday and given their impressive 30-15 record at home, we’ll take the Padres.
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