The Atlanta Braves (102-63) are on the road to face the Philadelphia Phillies (91-76) at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday in Game 4 with the home team one win away from clinching their National League Divisional Playoffs series. The Phillies lead the series 2-1 after winning 9-1 on Friday, their 10th head-to-head victory in 22 games this season. Aaron Nola got the win, giving up one run (0 ER) on five hits over six innings and striking out six. Bryce Harper’s on-base streak reached 12 as he went 2 for 4 with a home run and a double in the win. He scored two runs and had three RBIs. Kyle Schwarber added one run on one hit and a walk. Dansby Swanson was 1 for 4 with a double and one run for the Braves.
ON THE MOUND
Charlie Morton (9-6, 4.34 ERA) is set to take the mound for Atlanta. The righty ranks fifth in the NL in strikeouts (205). Morton allowed three runs over 4.1 innings in his last start, a 5-3 road win over the Mets on October 2. He scattered nine hits while striking out five and walking one in the no-decision. Over five previous starts against the Phillies this season, Morton has allowed 16 earned runs over 26.1 innings (0-1, 5.47). He has struck out 26 and walked 11.
AT THE PLATE
Over the last five games, Atlanta has averaged 4.2 runs a game, a small drop compared to their season average of 4.8. Philadelphia is averaging 4.8 runs per game in the last five, up slightly from 4.6 for the season. The Phils have a .727 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .900 OPS over 380 at-bats, Schwarber has been their best hitter against right-handers.
HOME AND AWAY
Atlanta is 46-36 in away games in 2022, scoring 4.8 runs per game while allowing 4.1 runs. Philadelphia has gone 48-34 in front of their home fans this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game while surrendering 4.1. In the last 10 games between the NL East rivals at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia is 6-4 with an average scoreline of 6.0-3.6.
STANDINGS UPDATE
The Braves won the NL East. The Phillies finished third in the NL East.
SportsTips’ MLB Pick:
Philadelphia Phillies (+105)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.
