Free MLB Picks Today For Division Series Game 4: Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees 10/16/22

Free MLB Picks Today For Division Series Game 4: Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees 10/16/22
Sun 16th October 2022

The New York Yankees (+100) are on the road to face the Cleveland Guardians (-120) at Progressive Field on Sunday in Game 4 with the home team one win away from the League Championship Series. Expect a pitchers’ duel with the early total at 6.5 with the over a -125 favorite. The Guardians (96-71) lead the series 2-1 after winning 6-5 on Saturday, their third head-to-head victory in nine games this season. Reliever Eli Morgan threw one scoreless inning to get the win. Steven Kwan went 3 for 5 with a double, two runs, and one RBI in the win. Oswaldo Cabrera was 2 for 3 with a home run and a double for the Yankees (100-65). He scored two runs and had two RBIs. Harrison Bader added a home run and two runs.


Gerrit Cole (14-8, 3.50 ERA) is set to get the start for New York. The righty leads the league in strikeouts (265). Cole is facing the Guardians for the second successive start. On Tuesday, he allowed one run over 6.1 innings, a 4-1 road win. He earned the win, yielding four hits while striking out eight and walking one. Over three previous starts against the Guardians this season, Cole has allowed only three earned runs over 19 innings (3-0, 1.42). He has struck out 23 and walked five.For Cleveland, right-hander Cal Quantrill (15-6, 3.38 ERA) will toe the rubber. He has made two appearances against the Yankees this season, both as the starter, giving up seven runs (6 ER) over 11.1 innings (0-1, 4.76) with seven strikeouts and six walks.In his last start on Tuesday, Quantrill took the loss on the road against the Yankees. He threw five innings and gave up four runs (3 ER) on four hits, striking out five and walking three in the 4-1 defeat. The righty is tied for fifth in the AL in wins.


Over the last five games, New York has averaged only 3.0 runs a game, down from their season average of 5.0, while slashing worse across the board (.169/.269/.351). Against righties like Quantrill this season, the Yanks have a .745 OPS, fifth highest in the league. Aaron Judge is the team’s best performer against right-handers with a 1.142 OPS in 435 at-bats. Cleveland is averaging only 2.8 runs per game in the last five, down from 4.3 for the season, with their slash line dropping across the board (.228/.263/.323). The Guardians have a .717 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .386 OBP over 444 at-bats, Kwan has their highest on-base percentage against right-handers.


New York is 42-40 on the road in 2022, scoring 4.8 runs per game while allowing 3.8 runs. Cleveland has won five in a row at home. The Guardians are 49-35 at home this season, averaging 4.0 runs per game while surrendering 3.9. In the last 10 games between the teams at Progressive Field, New York is 7-3 with an average scoreline of 6.2-3.9.


The Yankees won the AL East. The Guardians finished first in the AL Central.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Cleveland Guardians (+145)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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