Free MLB Picks Today For Division Series Game 3: Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros 10/15/22

Free MLB Picks Today For Division Series Game 3: Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros 10/15/22
Sat 15th October 2022

The Houston Astros (-235) are on the road to face the Seattle Mariners (+190) at T-Mobile Park on Saturday in Game 3 with the visitors eyeing a sweep of their American League Divisional Playoffs series. The early total has been set at 7 with the under a -120 favorite. The Astros (108-56) lead the series 2-0 after winning 4-2 on Thursday, their 14th head-to-head victory in 21 games this season. Reliever Hector Neris was credited with the win after throwing 0.1 scoreless innings, and Ryan Pressly earned his 34th save with a scoreless ninth. Yordan Alvarez was 1 for 3 with a home run and two RBIs in the win. Jeremy Pena added a double and two runs. Mitch Haniger went 1 for 3 with a double and one run for the Mariners (92-74).


Lance McCullers Jr. (4-2, 2.27 ERA) is set for the start for Houston. The righty allowed one run over six innings in his last start, a 3-0 road defeat against the Phillies on October 3. He took the loss, yielding six hits while striking out five and walking one. McCullers Jr. is making his first appearance against the Mariners this season. Over four starts against the Mariners in 2021, McCullers Jr. was 3-0 with a 3.13 ERA over 23 innings. He had 26 strikeouts and 11 walks. For Seattle, righty George Kirby (8-5, 3.39 ERA) will toe the rubber. He has made one prior start against the Astros this season, giving up two runs over four innings in a 3-2 road defeat on July 31. He gave up four hits and walked one, while striking out seven in the no-decision. In his last appearance on October 8, Kirby came on in relief on the road against the Blue Jays. He threw one scoreless, no-hit inning, striking out one and walking one in the 10-9 victory.


Over the last five games, Houston has averaged 5.0 runs a game, a small gain compared to their season average of 4.6. Against righties like Kirby this season, the ‘Stros have a .726 OPS. Alex Bregman is the team’s most potent producer against right-handers with a .881 OPS in 361 at-bats. Seattle is averaging 5.6 runs per game in the last five, up from 4.3 for the season, with a better slash line (.267/.335/.472). The M’s have a .701 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .860 OPS over 391 at-bats, Julio Rodriguez has been their best hitter against right-handers.


Houston is 51-30 in road games in 2022, scoring 4.6 runs per game while allowing 3.3 runs. Seattle has won three in a row at T-Mobile Park. The M’s are 46-35 at home this season, averaging 3.9 runs per game while surrendering 3.7. The AL West rivals have split their last 10 games head-to-head at T-Mobile Park, though Seattle has the scoring advantage with an average final margin of 4.0-2.6.


The Astros won the AL West. The Mariners finished second in the AL West.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Houston Astros (-115)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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