Free MLB Picks Today For Division Series Game 3: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves 10/14/22

Free MLB Picks Today For Division Series Game 3: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves 10/14/22
Fri 14th October 2022

The strikeout-prone Atlanta Braves (102-62) are in for a challenge at Citizens Bank Park on Friday against the Philadelphia Phillies (90-76) and Aaron Nola, owner of one of this season’s best K/9 rates, in Game 3 of their National League Divisional Playoffs series with both teams looking to take the series lead. The Braves evened the series 1-1 after winning 3-0 on Wednesday, their 12th head-to-head victory in 21 games this season. Starter Kyle Wright threw six scoreless innings – striking out six – to get the win, and Kenley Jansen picked up his 42nd save with a scoreless ninth. Ronald Acuna Jr. was 1 for 3 with one run in the win over the Phillies.

ON THE MOUND

Charlie Morton (9-6, 4.34 ERA) is slated to get the start for Atlanta. The right-hander ranks fifth in the NL in strikeouts (205). Morton allowed three runs over 4.1 innings in his last start, a 5-3 road win over the Mets on October 2. He yielded nine hits while striking out five and walking one in the no-decision. Over five previous starts against the Phillies this season, Morton has allowed 16 earned runs over 26.1 innings (0-1, 5.47). He has struck out 26 and walked 11. For Philadelphia, RHP Nola (12-13, 3.25 ERA) gets the start. He has made five appearances against the Braves this season, all starts, giving up 14 runs over 34.1 innings (3-2, 3.67) with 41 strikeouts and seven walks. In his last start on Saturday, Nola got the win on the road against the Cardinals. He threw 6.2 scoreless innings and gave up four hits, striking out six and walking one in the 2-0 victory. The right-hander ranks third in the NL in strikeouts (241).

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Atlanta has averaged 4.0 runs a game, a small drop compared to their season average of 4.9. Against righties like Nola this season, the Braves have a .753 OPS, fourth highest in MLB. Matt Olson is the team’s best hitter against right-handers with a .824 OPS in 433 at-bats. Philadelphia is averaging only 3.4 runs per game in the last five, down from 4.6 for the season, with their slash line slipping across the board (.183/.247/.268). The Phils have a .727 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .900 OPS over 380 at-bats, Kyle Schwarber has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Atlanta is 46-35 in away games in 2022, scoring 4.9 runs per game while allowing 4.0 runs. Philadelphia has gone 47-34 at Citizens Bank Park this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game while surrendering 4.1. The NL East rivals have split their last 10 meetings at Citizens Bank Park, though Philadelphia has the scoring advantage with an average final margin of 5.4-4.0.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Braves won the NL East. The Phillies finished third in the NL East.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Philadelphia Phillies (-120)

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