Free MLB Picks Today: Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins 10/1/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins 10/1/22
Sat 1st October 2022

The Detroit Tigers (-160) host the Minnesota Twins (+135) at Comerica Park on Saturday. The early total was set at 7.5 runs (O: -120 | U: +100). The Twins (77-80) took Friday’s series opener 7-0, their 11th head-to-head victory in 17 games this season. Starter Joe Ryan threw six scoreless innings – striking out eight – to get the win. Carlos Correa was 2 for 5 with a home run and two RBIs in the win, stretching his on-base streak to 17 games. Harold Castro went 2 for 3 for the Tigers (63-93).

ON THE MOUND

Dylan Bundy (8-8, 4.93 ERA) is slated to start for Minnesota. The right-hander allowed five runs (four earned) over 3.1 innings in his last start, a 10-3 road defeat against the Angels on Sunday. He took the loss, scattering seven hits while striking out two and walking two. Over two previous starts against the Tigers this season, Bundy has allowed five earned runs over 11.2 innings (0-0, 3.86). He has struck out nine and walked one. For Detroit, RHP Drew Hutchison (3-9, 4.54 ERA) will take the mound. He has made one prior appearance against the Twins this season, holding opposing hitters scoreless over one inning in a 5-0 road defeat on April 27. He didn’t give up a hit while walking two in the no-decision. In his last start on September 24, Hutchison got the win on the road against the White Sox. He threw five innings and gave up two runs on four hits, striking out one and walking two in the 7-2 victory.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Minnesota has averaged 5.0 runs a game, a small gain compared to their season average of 4.3. Against righties like Hutchison this season, the Twins have a .725 OPS. Luis Arraez is the team’s most productive hitter against right-handers with a .816 OPS in 423 at-bats. Detroit is averaging 4.0 runs per game in the last five, up slightly from 3.4 for the season. The Tigers have a .606 OPS against right-handers in 2022, lowest in MLB. With a .617 OPS over 407 at-bats, Javier Baez has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Minnesota is 31-45 in away games in 2022, scoring 4.4 runs per game while allowing 4.6 runs. Detroit has gone 33-46 at Comerica Park this season, averaging 3.4 runs per game while surrendering 4.5. The AL Central rivals have split their last 10 meetings head-to-head at Comerica Park, though Minnesota has the scoring advantage with an average final margin of 4.2-3.5.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Twins are third in the AL Central, 12 games behind the division-leading Guardians. They are sixth in the Wild Card race, nine games out of third. The Tigers are fourth in the AL Central, 25 games behind the Guardians.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Minnesota Twins (-140)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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