Free MLB Picks Today: Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals 10/5/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals 10/5/22
Wed 5th October 2022

The Guardians lead the series 3-2 after winning 5-3 on Tuesday, their 11th head-to-head victory in 18 games this season. Starter Cal Quantrill went five innings, allowing one run on four hits, to get the win, and Emmanuel Clase pitched the ninth to earn his 42nd save. Amed Rosario went 3 for 4 with one run in the win. Nate Eaton was 2 for 3 with two runs for the Royals.

ON THE MOUND

Jonathan Heasley (4-9, 4.87 ERA) is set to get the start for Kansas City. The righty allowed five runs (four earned) over 4.2 innings in his last start, a 10-3 home defeat against the Tigers on Thursday. He was charged with the loss, yielding six hits while striking out one and walking one. Over two previous starts against the Guardians this season, Heasley has allowed eight earned runs over 7.1 innings (0-1, 9.82). He has struck out five and walked three. For Cleveland, righty Aaron Civale (4-6, 5.04 ERA) gets the start. He has made three appearances against the Royals this season, all as the starter, giving up eight runs (5 ER) over 16.1 innings (1-0, 2.76) with 14 strikeouts and three walks. In his last start on Friday, Civale got the win at home against the Royals. He threw six innings and gave up three runs (2 ER) on three hits, striking out five, in the 6-3 triumph.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Kansas City has averaged 4.6 runs a game, a small gain compared to their season average of 4.0. Against righties like Civale this season, the Royals have a .674 OPS. Bobby Witt Jr. is the team’s strongest hitter against right-handers with a .726 OPS in 446 at-bats. Cleveland is averaging only 4.2 runs per game in the last five, consistent with their season average. The Guardians have a .714 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .909 OPS over 439 at-bats, Jose Ramirez has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Kansas City is 26-54 on the road in 2022, scoring 3.8 runs per game while allowing 5.0 runs. Cleveland has gone 45-35 at home this season, averaging 4.0 runs per game while surrendering 4.0. Cleveland is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings at Progressive Field with an average scoreline of 5.2-3.3.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Guardians lead the AL Central by 10 games over the White Sox The Royals are fifth in the AL Central, 26 games behind the Guardians.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Cleveland Guardians

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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